Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)


	Kidderminster Harriers		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.2
	1.58	3.75	4.5
	1.62	4	4.75
	1.64	4.15	4.65
	1.65	4.1	4.67	Watch
	1.57	4	4.5
	1.69	4.21	4.42	Watch
	1.62	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)	4.03 ↓ (4.1)	4.56 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
56.9%

Draw
22.9%

Guiseley
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

22%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

21.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 1, Longbottom W. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Guiseley have a series of home games.

In this match Kidderminster is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kidderminster won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:5 (average 0.8:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Kidderminster won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League North
05.10.24	Spennymoor Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Buxton	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Buxton - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
English National League North
21.09.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Leek Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTLW
- Guiseley
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Guiseley - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.24	Basford United - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Guiseley - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
21.09.24	Guiseley - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
17.09.24	Guiseley - Morpeth Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.04.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Guiseley	3:0
04.09.21	Guiseley - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0
10.12.19	Guiseley - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2
27.04.19	Kidderminster Harriers - Guiseley	1:2
27.10.18	Guiseley - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0
English National League
23.01.16	Kidderminster Harriers - Guiseley	0:1
15.08.15	Guiseley - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0

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