The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mictlán 47.4%
Draw 29.5%
Deportivo Mixco 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
29.9%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
31.1%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mictlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mictlán's performance.
Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Mixco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mictlán that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Mixco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Mictlán - Deportivo Mixco Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mictlán will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Mixco will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Faust J. (G) . Betancourth R. 88. Chinchilla C. 29. Fajardo W. 30. Folleco R. 3. Herrarte J. 24. Herrarte K. 34. Monges R. 44. Ramirez W. 31. Rivas B. 19. Salguero O.
23. Padilla M. (G) 2. Flores N. 32. Gonzalez F. 24. Gonzalez O. . Marroquin D. 99. Martinez N. 3. Moreno M. . Quinones E. 25. Reyes Gonzalez E. J. 9. Rocha K. 16. Urizar J.
Substitutes
80. Chavasco G. 23. Figueroa J. (G) 17. Grijalva M. 77. Lemus M. 11. Martinez C. 5. Menendez B. 4. Meza P. . Racancoj J. 99. Rigoberto R. D.
10. Arce G. 18. Bolanos J. 61. Lemus K. 31. Mancilla J. 12. Marquez J. 15. Marroquin R. 5. Mendez D. 30. Mendoza M. (G) 11. Pozuelos Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Fajardo W. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Rocha K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marroquin D. ↓, Lemus K. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Quinones E. ⚽,
55', Chinchilla C. ↓, Chavasco G. ↑,
57', Betancourth R. ↓, Rigoberto R. D. ↑,
65', 🟨,
71', Reyes Gonzalez E. J. ↓, Arce G. ↑,
71', Herrarte K. ↓, Racancoj J. ↑,
71', Rivas B. ↓, Lemus M. ↑,
71', Rocha K. ↓, Pozuelos Y. ↑,
81', Moreno M. 🟨,
83', 🟨,
84', Arce G. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Moreno M. (Own goal),
89', 🟨,
90+1', Flores N. 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, Mictlán has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mixco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mixco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Mictlán could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Mictlán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.