The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Mixco 40.2%
Draw 28.5%
Antigua GFC 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
29.3%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
30.5%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Deportivo Mixco - Antigua GFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Moscoso K. (G) 10. Arce G. 18. Bolanos J. 17. Cuero Fabian 26. Jerry 6. Jimenez C. 9. L. Garcia 14. Marroquin R. 5. Mendez D. 11. Pozuelos Y. 33. Sotomayor J.
72. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 77. Camargo E. 4. Carbonell J. 19. Espinoza J. 7. Galvez J. 5. Garcia A. 2. Gonzalez A. 11. Gonzalez J. 34. Lopez K. J. 15. Maziero A. 21. Robinson A.
Substitutes
13. Chinchilla J. . Garcia E. . Gomez M. 8. Lemus K. . Lopez D. 12. Marquez J. . Moreno M. 23. Padilla M. (G) 19. Zuniga E.
35. Fernandez A. (G) 26. Fernandez D. 22. Franco J. 8. Garzaro S. . Moreno J. 27. Palencia D. 54. Sagastume S. 18. Zamora Contreras M. S. 24. Zuniga S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Maziero A. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
16', 1 - 0, Jerry ⚽,
26', Gonzalez A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
26', Robinson A. ↓, Zuniga S. ↑,
27', 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Pozuelos Y. ⚽,
42', Camargo E. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 3 - 0, Bolanos J. ⚽,
62', Camargo E. ↓, Garzaro S. ↑,
62', Espinoza J. ↓, Sagastume S. ↑,
64', Pozuelos Y. 🟨,
68', Arce G. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
68', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Lopez K. J. ⚽,
85', Marroquin R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
85', 🟨,
90+1', L. Garcia ↓, Chinchilla J. ↑,
90+2', Jerry ↓, Lemus K. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mixco won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Mixco (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Antigua have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mixco has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:31 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mixco against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 9:12 goals (averaging 0.9:1.2 per game).
Guatemala
Watch
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Moscoso K. (G) 
Arce G. 
Cuero Fabian 
Lopez K. J. 
Robinson A. 
Lopez D. 
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