Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Middlesbrough		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.9	3.6	Watch
	1.78	3.8	4.33
	1.85	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.89	3.8	4.01
	2.39	3.48	2.75	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.75
	1.84	3.84	4.05	Watch
	2.14	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.51)	3.73 ↓ (4.37)	3.66 ↓ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
48.7%

Draw
25.4%

Doncaster Rovers
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Middlesbrough's form might have worsened.

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	5%	0%

Middlesbrough - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Middlesbrough (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Doncaster (3.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 9 - 75%). Doncaster (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Glover T. (G) 12. Ayling L. 5. Jones A. (C) 30. Neto Borges 2. Brittain C. 42. Kante A. 28. McCabe L. 40. McCormick G. 11. Whittaker M. 10. Burgzorg D. 9. Conway T.	1. Lawlor I. (G) 16. Nixon T. 6. McGrath J. (C) 27. Grehan S. 23. Senior J. 33. Close B. 22. Gotts R. 11. Gibson J. 10. Sbarra J. 19. Ajayi D. 14. Sharp B.
Substitutes
4. Barlaser D. 31. Brynn S. (G) 39. Finch S. 21. Forss M. 6. Fry D. 14. Gilbert A. 7. Hackney H. 17. Hamilton M. 18. Morris A.	4. Bailey O. 18. Crew C. 20. Ironside J. 29. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 3. Maxwell J. 17. Middleton G. 7. Molyneux L. 12. O'Riordan C. 24. Westbrooke Z.
Coaches
Edwards R.	McCann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Close B. ⚽, Sharp B. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Ajayi D. ⚽,
27', Kante A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', McGrath J. 🟨,
60', Grehan S. 🟨,
60', McCormick G. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
61', Kante A. ↓, Morris A. ↑,
61', Conway T. ↓, Hackney H. ↑,
65', Gibson J. ↓, Middleton G. ↑,
65', Ajayi D. ↓, Molyneux L. ↑,
65', Sbarra J. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
70', Sharp B. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
77', McCabe L. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
78', Ayling L. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
79', McGrath J. ↓, O'Riordan C. ↑,
83', Close B. 🟨,
84', 0 - 3, Gotts R. ⚽, Molyneux L. (A),
90+6', 0 - 4, Nixon T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3.

In recent matches, Middlesbrough has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Doncaster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
09.08.25	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Middlesbrough - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Glasgow Rangers - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
23.07.25	Bradford City - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Mansfield Town - Middlesbrough	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTLT
- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
09.08.25	Mansfield Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Doncaster Rovers - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Doncaster Rovers - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Doncaster Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	Peterborough Sports - Doncaster Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.24	Doncaster Rovers - Middlesbrough	3:5
16.07.16	Doncaster Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:2
25.07.15	Doncaster Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:0
English League Championship
01.02.14	Doncaster Rovers - Middlesbrough	0:0
25.10.13	Middlesbrough - Doncaster Rovers	4:0
17.04.12	Middlesbrough - Doncaster Rovers	N/A

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