Match Info

Championship - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Middlesbrough		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.9
	1.94	3.54	3.93	Watch
	2.16	3.35	3.79
	2.21	3.12	3.43	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.8
	1.93	3.62	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.95)	3.4 ↓ (3.55)	3.76 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
46.9%

Draw
27.9%

Swansea City
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Middlesbrough - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Swansea (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Middlesbrough (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brynn S. (G) 12. Ayling L. 6. Fry D. (C) 5. Jones A. 2. Brittain C. 18. Morris A. 7. Hackney H. 22. Silvera S. 11. Whittaker M. 9. Conway T. 10. Burgzorg D.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 4. Fulton J. 30. Galbraith E. 35. Ronald 20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J.
Substitutes
4. Barlaser D. 39. Finch S. 21. Forss M. 14. Gilbert A. 23. Glover T. (G) 42. Kante A. 28. McCabe L. 37. McCormick G. 30. Neto Borges	26. Casey K. 45. Congreve C. 31. Cooper O. 1. Fisher A. (G) 27. Inoussa Z. 41. Parker S. 9. Vipotnik Z. 24. Wales B. 7. Widell M.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Sheehan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Silvera S. 🟨,
29', Fulton J. 🟨,
41', Franco G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Fry D. ⚽, Whittaker M. (A),
60', Galbraith E. 🟨,
63', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
64', Galbraith E. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
72', Burgzorg D. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
72', Ronald ↓, Widell M. ↑,
75', Cabango B. ↓, Casey K. ↑,
82', Brittain C. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
89', Conway T. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
90+6', Burgess C. 🟨,
90+7', Ayling L. 🟨,
90+7', Cullen L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 4.

In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.

There will not play in Swansea: Ginnelly J. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Middlesbrough - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Glasgow Rangers - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
23.07.25	Bradford City - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Mansfield Town - Middlesbrough	3:3 ✺
English League Championship
03.05.25	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TTLTL
- Swansea City
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Swansea City - Lorient	1:3 ✺
26.07.25	Exeter City - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
23.07.25	Cheltenham Town - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Swansea City - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
03.05.25	Swansea City - Oxford United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.03.25	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	1:0
10.08.24	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	1:0
06.04.24	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	2:0
16.12.23	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	1:2
11.03.23	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	1:3
27.08.22	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	2:1
23.04.22	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	1:1

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