Match Info

Date: 9 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Arena Randers (Randers)

Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV


	Midtjylland		Benfica

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.83	Watch
	4	4	1.8
	4	4.15	1.8
	3.85	4	1.81
	4.1	4.19	1.83
	4	3.8	1.83	Watch
	3.98	4.05	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (5.4)	4.03 ↑ (3.7)	1.81 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
23.8%

Draw
23.6%

Benfica
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

25.9%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

25.8%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Midtjylland's performance.

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Midtjylland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.6%	5.4%	62%

Midtjylland - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 92 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 30 - 32.6%). Benfica will win (votes: 57 - 62%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 5.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 52.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Arena Randers. 1st leg result: 1-4.

Recent matches Midtjylland is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Benfica is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Midtjylland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Midtjylland have a series of guest games.

Recently Benfica have a series of home games.

In this match Benfica is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Midtjylland won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
05.08.22	Lyngby BK - Midtjylland	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.22	Benfica - Midtjylland	4:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
29.07.22	OB Odense - Midtjylland	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.22	AEK Larnaca - Midtjylland	1:2 penalties ✺
Danish Superliga
22.07.22	Midtjylland - Silkeborg IF	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWWL
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
05.08.22	Benfica - Arouca	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.22	Benfica - Midtjylland	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.22	Benfica - Newcastle United	3:2 ✺
22.07.22	Benfica - Girona	4:2 ✺
17.07.22	Benfica - Fulham	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
02.08.22	Benfica - Midtjylland	4:1

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