Match Info

Division 1 - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Urban P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Miedź Legnica		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.30	2.80
	2.25	3.40	2.80
	2.32	3.30	2.60
	2.32	3.65	2.99
	2.27	3.5	2.96	Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.95
	2.30	3.44	2.92
	2.20	3.30	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	3.43 ↓ (3.56)	2.85 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
40.7%

Draw
26.9%

Arka Gdynia
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucic I. (G) 17. Maliszewski I. 99. Noiszewski K. 78. Mazur M. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 70. Hajda W. 80. Petrovic Z. 98. Antonik K. 9. Fucak K. 18. Cordoba A. 21. Stanclik D.	99. Arndt D. (G) 20. Gruszkowski K. 3. Szota S. 4. Komenda M. 94. Gojny D. 14. Kun D. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 16. Solecki K. 77. Walus F. 39. Milewski M. 9. Gutkovskis V. (C)
Substitutes
7. Bochnak M. 30. Jovicic M. 95. Mansfeld M. 11. Norlin G. 8. Serafin J. 12. Sydorenko D. (G) 49. Szymoniak O. 23. Zur F.	72. Demirovic E. 44. Dominguez J. 17. Dziegielewski N. 33. Grobelny J. (G) 90. Krefft P. 23. Lewkot S. 6. Lipkowski K. 19. Pawlowski B. 98. Rama E.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Jarolim M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Antonik K. ⚽, Cordoba A. (A),
30', Kun D. 🟨,
37', Petrovic Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Szota S. 🟨,
62', Fucak K. ↓, Serafin J. ↑,
66', Kun D. ↓, Pawlowski B. ↑,
71', Maliszewski I. ↓, Szymoniak O. ↑,
71', Hajda W. ↓, Norlin G. ↑,
72', Milewski M. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
72', Solecki K. ↓, Krefft P. ↑,
81', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Rama E. ↑,
81', Szota S. ↓, Lewkot S. ↑,
83', Stanclik D. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
83', Cordoba A. ↓, Jovicic M. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Antonik K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Arka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:39. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Legnica: 4.51% Arka Gdynia: 4.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11:11	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Miedź Legnica - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
16.08.26	Unia Skierniewice - Miedź Legnica	0:3 ✺
08.08.26	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Miedź Legnica - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Miedź Legnica - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWTW
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
17.08.26	Arka Gdynia - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:0 ✺
10.08.26	Unia Skierniewice - Arka Gdynia	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Arka Gdynia - Stal Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
24.07.26	Odra Opole - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Arka Gdynia - Luzino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.06.25	Arka Gdynia - Miedź Legnica	5:0
Polish Division 1
30.03.25	Arka Gdynia - Miedź Legnica	2:0
30.08.24	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	1:2
30.03.24	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	0:1
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	0:2
Polish Division 1
17.09.23	Arka Gdynia - Miedź Legnica	2:1
08.05.22	Arka Gdynia - Miedź Legnica	0:2

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