The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arka Gdynia 47.2%
Draw 28.2%
Puszcza Niepołomice 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.2%
24.6%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
22.5%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arka Gdynia's form might have worsened.
Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puszcza Niepołomice's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
0%
7.7%
Arka Gdynia - Puszcza Niepołomice Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Arka Gdynia will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Arndt D. (G) 20. Gruszkowski K. 3. Szota S. 4. Komenda M. 94. Gojny D. 14. Kun D. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 16. Solecki K. 77. Walus F. 39. Milewski M. 9. Gutkovskis V. (C)
1. Andrzejczak F. (G) 23. Przybylko K. 2. Kasolik K. 64. Wolowiec K. 6. Kocar O. 34. Piekarski A. 8. Nascimento F. (C) 17. Iwao K. 53. Trubeha A. 10. Cholewiak M. 63. Barkovskiy G.
Substitutes
72. Demirovic E. 44. Dominguez J. 17. Dziegielewski N. 33. Grobelny J. (G) . Krefft P. 23. Lewkot S. 19. Pawlowski B. 98. Rama E. 80. Zacharewicz W.
21. Gerstenstein O. 9. Gjoni A. 7. Klimek A. 11. Korczakowski O. 97. Kowal W. (G) 28. Pieprzyca I. 25. Sajdak P. 33. Strajnar M. 14. Szabaciuk F.
Coaches
Jarolim M.
Tulacz T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gutkovskis V. ⚽,
11', Piekarski A. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Szota S. ⚽, Ambrosiewicz M. (A),
23', Gruszkowski K. 🟨,
30', 3 - 0, Walus F. ⚽, Gojny D. (A),
32', Przybylko K. ↓, Szabaciuk F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Piekarski A. ↓, Strajnar M. ↑,
50', Szota S. 🟨,
58', Iwao K. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
58', Cholewiak M. ↓, Gjoni A. ↑,
63', Milewski M. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
63', Szota S. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
73', Trubeha A. ↓, Pieprzyca I. ↑,
78', Walus F. ↓, Krefft P. ↑,
79', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Lewkot S. ↑,
84', Gjoni A. 🟨,
85', Solecki K. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Puszcza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Arka is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arka won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 2.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
Poland
Usa
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Arndt D. (G) 
Komenda M. 
Gutkovskis V. (C) 
Kocar O. 
Nascimento F. (C) 
Iwao K. 
Barkovskiy G. 
Dominguez J. 
Rama E. 
Jarolim M. 
