Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Miedź Legnica 2		Polonia Nysa

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.45	2.82
	2.17	3.58	2.77	Watch
	2.16	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.23)	3.51 ↓ (3.55)	2.78 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica 2
41.8%

Draw
25.7%

Polonia Nysa
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

24.6%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Polonia Nysa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica 2 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Miedź Legnica 2 - Polonia Nysa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Keita M. (Pen),
2nd Half (6 - 2)
49', 2 - 0, Zur F. ⚽,
50', 3 - 0, Paczek S. ⚽,
59', 4 - 0, Keita M. ⚽,
61', 5 - 0, Keita M. ⚽,
64', 5 - 1, ⚽,
70', 6 - 1, Keita M. ⚽,
84', 7 - 1, ⚽,
89', 7 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Miedź 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Miedź 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica 2
Polish Division 3 - Group III
15.11.25	Starowice Dolne - Miedź Legnica 2	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Miedź Legnica 2 - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	5:5 ✺
31.10.25	Pniówek Pawłowice - Miedź Legnica 2	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Miedź Legnica 2 - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Miedź Legnica 2 - Ślęza Wrocław	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLWL
- Polonia Nysa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
14.11.25	Polonia Nysa - Carina Gubin	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Sparta Katowice - Polonia Nysa	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Polonia Nysa - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polonia Nysa	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Polonia Nysa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
02.08.25	Polonia Nysa - Miedź Legnica 2	4:0
03.06.23	Miedź Legnica 2 - Polonia Nysa	3:1
05.11.22	Polonia Nysa - Miedź Legnica 2	2:0
10.04.21	Miedź Legnica 2 - Polonia Nysa	0:0
29.08.20	Polonia Nysa - Miedź Legnica 2	3:1

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