Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Polonia Nysa		Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.5	2.2
	2.24	3.55	2.62	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.71)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)	2.51 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Polonia Nysa
38.2%

Draw
25.8%

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

25.7%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Nysa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Nysa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polonia Nysa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Szota N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 1 - 1, Gardzielewicz K. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

Polonia Nysa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Warta Gorzów is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia Nysa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Nysa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Nysa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.10.25	Skra Częstochowa - Polonia Nysa	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Słowianin Wolibórz - Polonia Nysa	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Nysa	5:2 ✺
12.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Stal Jasień	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTLW
- Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.10.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Miedź Legnica 2	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Ślęza Wrocław	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
25.03.23	Polonia Nysa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1
20.08.22	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polonia Nysa	2:2
15.05.21	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polonia Nysa	0:0
10.10.20	Polonia Nysa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1

Upcoming Matches