Match Info

Division 1 - Round 18

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Horozaniecki P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Miedź Legnica		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.5	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.75	Watch
	1.54	4.6	5.21
	1.91	3.65	3.67	Watch
	1.57	4.05	4.66
	1.57	4.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.88)	4.18 ↑ (3.58)	4.59 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
57.5%

Draw
22.3%

GKS Tychy
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miedź Legnica's performance.

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miedź Legnica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Tychy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Miedź Legnica - GKS Tychy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.86) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH -1 - Miedź (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Miedź Legnica will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miedź Legnica will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Miedź (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wrabel J. (G) 49. Szymoniak O. 25. Czyborra L. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 15. Jovicic M. 59. Stepinski P. 27. Letniowski J. 8. Serafin J. 98. Antonik K. 18. Cordoba A. 21. Stanclik D.	31. Kolotylo K. (G) 4. Lipkowski K. 5. Glogowski K. 23. Adamczyk N. 28. Kalemba M. L. 47. Jankowski B. 10. Makowski R. 37. Keiblinger J. 7. Sanyang M. 92. Kadzior D. 9. Rumin D. (C)
Substitutes
7. Bochnak M. 14. Drygas K. 2. Koscielny K. 11. Kuchko G. 99. Kwiecien B. 95. Mansfeld M. 10. Mioc B. 80. Petrovic Z. 1. Sydorenko D. (G)	26. Brzek B. 21. Machowski K. 20. Pioterczak B. 19. Stangret M. 18. Stefansson O. 1. Wechsel L. (G) 99. Woudstra Y.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Piszczek L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Rumin D. ⚽, Lipkowski K. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Stanclik D. ⚽,
23', Kadzior D. ↓, Stangret M. ↑,
25', Letniowski J. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
35', 2 - 1, Cordoba A. ⚽, Antonik K. (A),
39', 3 - 1, Stanclik D. ⚽,
44', 4 - 1, Stanclik D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Sanyang M. ↓, Stefansson O. ↑,
63', Jankowski B. ↓, Machowski K. ↑,
65', Szymoniak O. ↓, Kuchko G. ↑,
65', Czyborra L. ↓, Bochnak M. ↑,
65', Cordoba A. ↓, Mioc B. ↑,
74', Stanclik D. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
76', 5 - 1, Mansfeld M. ⚽,
77', Makowski R. ↓, Pioterczak B. ↑,
78', Rumin D. ↓, Woudstra Y. ↑,
82', 6 - 1, Petrovic Z. ⚽, Antonik K. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 0.

Miedź has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

GKS Tychy is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Miedź is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:30. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
21.11.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Miedź Legnica	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Miedź Legnica - Wieczysta Kraków	3:2 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.25	Miedź Legnica - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.10.25	Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLW
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
22.11.25	Stal Rzeszów - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	GKS Tychy - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	GKS Tychy - Wieczysta Kraków	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
19.07.25	GKS Tychy - Miedź Legnica	4:3
30.11.24	Miedź Legnica - GKS Tychy	1:3
21.07.24	GKS Tychy - Miedź Legnica	2:2
09.03.24	Miedź Legnica - GKS Tychy	2:2
25.08.23	GKS Tychy - Miedź Legnica	0:0
03.12.21	Miedź Legnica - GKS Tychy	2:0
13.08.21	GKS Tychy - Miedź Legnica	0:3

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