Match Info

Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.02	3.5	3.3
	2.07	3.57	3.11	Watch
	2	3.45	3.44
	1.85	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.07)	3.56 ↓ (3.57)	3.38 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
46.7%

Draw
25.9%

GKS Tychy
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

25.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

23.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ruch Chorzów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy Predictions

Users Predictions: Ruch Chorzów will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ruch Chorzów will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gradecki B. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 17. Lukic A. 4. Preisler D. 27. Szwoch M. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 18. Nagamatsu S. 21. Szwedzik P. 7. Kolar M. 23. Mezghrani M.	31. Kolotylo K. (G) 21. Machowski K. 4. Lipkowski K. 18. Stefansson O. 11. Blachewicz M. 8. Szpakowski M. 15. Bieronski J. 37. Keiblinger J. 92. Kadzior D. 7. Sanyang M. 19. Stangret M.
Substitutes
9. Bala T. 38. Karasinski S. 24. Komor A. 14. Nono 70. Proczek N. (G) 5. Rosol M. 30. Sobeczko J. 25. Ventura D. 22. Zurawski M.	5. Glogowski K. 47. Jankowski B. 28. Kalemba M. L. 22. Kubik T. . Makowski R. 20. Pioterczak B. 9. Rumin D. 3. Teclaw J. 1. Wechsel L. (G)
Coaches
Fornalik W.	Skowronek A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Blachewicz M. (Own goal),
39', 2 - 0, Nagamatsu S. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Szwedzik P. ↓, Zurawski M. ↑,
58', Sanyang M. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,
58', Bieronski J. ↓, Kalemba M. L. ↑,
58', Stefansson O. ↓, Teclaw J. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Keiblinger J. ⚽,
68', Stangret M. ↓, Rumin D. ↑,
79', Kolar M. ↓, Bala T. ↑,
79', Mezghrani M. ↓, Sobeczko J. ↑,
82', Szpakowski M. 🟨,
89', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Ventura D. ↑,
90+7', Bala T. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 3.

Ruch Chorzów is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

GKS Tychy is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Ruch Chorzów has had a series of away games.

Ruch Chorzów will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ruch Chorzów won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ruch Chorzów won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Tychy - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.64%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
24.10.25	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Wisła Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Avia Świdnik - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
26.10.25	GKS Tychy - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	GKS Tychy - Wieczysta Kraków	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Tychy	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
06.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	0:1
16.09.24	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	0:1
03.06.23	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	1:0
Club Friendly
09.12.22	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	1:5
Polish Division 1
05.11.22	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	2:2
Club Friendly
30.01.21	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	2:1
05.02.20	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	1:4

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