Match Info

Date: 28 October 2022, Friday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Miedź Legnica		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.3	2
	3.65	3.4	2
	3.6	3.35	2.02
	3.81	3.6	2.02
	3.6	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.95	3.62	1.88	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.45)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	1.98 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
25.3%

Draw
27.5%

Pogoń Szczecin
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

26.6%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

25.9%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	9.4%	84.4%

Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: Pogoń Szczecin will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.8% – 96.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).

Miedź has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pogoń Szczecin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pogoń Szczecin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pogoń Szczecin will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Miedź: Drachal D. (Injury) Tront D. (Injury)

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Gorgon A. (Injury) Kostorz K. (Injury) Smolinski K. (Injury) Wawrzynowicz S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Miedź: Zapolnik K. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Miedź won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Miedź won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.10.22	Widzew Łódź - Miedź Legnica	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Miedź Legnica - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
10.10.22	Raków Częstochowa - Miedź Legnica	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec	0:2 ✺
16.09.22	Legia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.10.22	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
18.10.22	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Szczecin	3:4 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.10.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
07.10.22	Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin	4:2 ✺
01.10.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
25.11.18	Pogoń Szczecin - Miedź Legnica	2:0
20.07.18	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0

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