Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Miedź Legnica		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.7
	1.85	3.75	3.65	Watch
	1.86	4.13	3.83
	1.81	4.11	3.73	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.73	3.82	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)	3.82 ↓ (4.12)	3.72 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
51%

Draw
24.2%

Stal Mielec
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

22.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

22.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Lucic I. (G) 7. Bochnak M. 99. Kwiecien B. 5. Kovacevic A. (C) 3. Grudzinski M. 11. Kuchko G. 18. Cordoba A. 80. Petrovic Z. 8. Serafin J. 98. Antonik K. 21. Stanclik D.	99. Gostomski M. (G) 20. Szeliga B. 44. Puerto I. 2. Szala D. 5. Matynia H. 24. Nunez C. 18. Wlazlo P. (C) 90. Kruszelnicki P. 11. Odolak K. 78. Cybulski K. 25. Fucak K.
Substitutes
14. Drygas K. 15. Jovicic M. 27. Letniowski J. 10. Mioc B. 78. Polak C. 23. Rakip E. 59. Stepinski P. 49. Szymoniak O. 44. Wrabel J. (G)	27. Diez A. 32. Gerbowski F. 22. Kavcic M. 71. Kowalski J. 88. Lukic D. 30. Malek J. 1. Matys M. (G) 15. Senger M. 70. Tsykalo Y.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Mamrot I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Cordoba A. 🟨,
56', Kovacevic A. ↓, Jovicic M. ↑,
56', Serafin J. ↓, Rakip E. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Cordoba A. ⚽,
75', Kuchko G. ↓, Szymoniak O. ↑,
75', Bochnak M. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
78', Fucak K. ↓, Lukic D. ↑,
78', Cybulski K. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
82', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
83', Odolak K. ↓, Tsykalo Y. ↑,
90+1', Cordoba A. ↓, Drygas K. ↑,
90+1', Szeliga B. ↓, Diez A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Miedź may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Miedź is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Legnica: 4.51% Stal Mielec: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14:23	-9	9

Last Results with these Odds

Miedź Legnica - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
25.04.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Miedź Legnica	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTT
- Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1
25.04.26	Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Chrobry Głogów - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Stal Mielec - Stal Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Stal Mielec - Wieczysta Kraków	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
26.10.25	Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica	1:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.04.23	Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica	1:1
02.10.22	Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec	0:2
Polish Division 1
02.06.20	Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec	1:2
26.08.19	Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica	1:0
11.04.18	Stal Mielec - Miedź Legnica	1:1
27.08.17	Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec	0:0

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