The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Miedź Legnica 53.9%
Draw 23.5%
Stal Mielec 22.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.6%
22.2%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
21.4%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miedź Legnica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Sydorenko D. (G) 52. Olewinski O. 5. Kovacevic A. 99. Noiszewski K. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 18. Cordoba A. 80. Petrovic Z. 70. Hajda W. 98. Antonik K. 9. Fucak K. 7. Bochnak M.
99. Gostomski M. (G) 29. Tupaj P. 94. Kwiecien B. 44. Puerto I. 5. Matynia H. 32. Gerbowski F. 18. Wlazlo P. (C) 90. Kruszelnicki P. 7. Cebula M. 78. Cybulski K. 20. Ziobron E.
Substitutes
30. Jovicic M. 10. Letniowski J. 1. Lucic I. (G) 17. Maliszewski I. 95. Mansfeld M. 78. Mazur M. 11. Norlin G. 8. Serafin J. 21. Stanclik D.
41. Chrapusta P. (G) 10. Domanski M. 23. Getinger K. 19. Gmur T. 14. Koscielny K. 2. Kukulowicz B. 8. Niedzwiedz N. 47. Oure S. 88. Prajsnar P.
Coaches
Kroczek D.
Skiba D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Tupaj P. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Hajda W. ⚽,
35', Cybulski K. 🟨,
43', Ziobron E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ziobron E. ↓, Gmur T. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Fucak K. ⚽, Sydorenko D. (A),
52', Cebula M. 🟨,
58', Antonik K. ↓, Norlin G. ↑,
65', Cybulski K. ↓, Oure S. ↑,
65', Tupaj P. ↓, Kukulowicz B. ↑,
68', Noiszewski K. ↓, Mazur M. ↑,
68', Bochnak M. ↓, Stanclik D. ↑,
72', Matynia H. ↓, Getinger K. ↑,
77', Fucak K. ↓, Letniowski J. ↑,
80', Cebula M. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Cordoba A. ⚽, Letniowski J. (A),
90', Kwiecien B. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 2.
Miedź has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Stal Mielec has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Miedź may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Miedź is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Miedź has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:11 (averaging 0.7:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Miedź against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 3:6 goals (averaging 0.6:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Legnica
12
5
3
4
18:11
7
18
15
Stal Mielec
12
3
4
5
16:27
-11
13
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Legnica: 2.69% Stal Mielec: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Miedź Legnica - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.57%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.