Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Legia Warsaw		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	5	Watch
	1.66	3.9	4.75
	1.64	3.85	5.1
	1.66	3.9	4.8
	1.66	4.03	5.58
	1.62	3.6	5	Watch
	1.64	3.95	5.05	Watch
	1.66	3.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.56)	3.87 ↑ (3.82)	5.01 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
57%

Draw
24.2%

Miedź Legnica
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24.1%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.8%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	3.4%	6.1%

Legia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (134 of 148 users predict this - 90.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.82% – 95.26%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Legia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Miedź is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Legia is a favorite.

There will not play in Miedź: Tront D. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.09.22	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	4:0 ✺
02.09.22	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
30.08.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Legia Warsaw	2:3 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.08.22	Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
19.08.22	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWT
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.09.22	Miedź Legnica - Korona Kielce	2:2 ✺
05.09.22	Piast Gliwice - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
31.08.22	Resovia Rzeszów - Miedź Legnica	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.08.22	Miedź Legnica - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
19.08.22	Jagiellonia Białystok - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
26.05.20	Miedź Legnica - Legia Warsaw	1:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.03.19	Legia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	2:0
22.09.18	Miedź Legnica - Legia Warsaw	1:4
Polish Cup
24.09.14	Miedź Legnica - Legia Warsaw	0:4

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