Match Info

Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Wojcik K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Miedź Legnica		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.00	3.50	3.25
	2	3.4	3.35
	2.03	3.65	3.74
	2.01	3.48	3.57	Watch
	1.99	3.35	3.65
	1.98	3.28	3.45
	1.95	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.96)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)	3.45 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
46.3%

Draw
27%

Warta Poznań
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucic I. (G) 17. Maliszewski I. 99. Noiszewski K. 78. Mazur M. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 8. Serafin J. 80. Petrovic Z. 70. Hajda W. 18. Cordoba A. 21. Stanclik D. 98. Antonik K.	42. Przybylak L. (C) 2. Lepczynski K. 3. Azatsky O. 24. Avdeev D. 7. Apolinarski J. 22. Lysiak K. 13. Niedzielski J. 17. Stefaniak M. 11. Wolczek A. 9. Stanek M. 77. Kendzia J.
Substitutes
7. Bochnak M. 9. Fucak K. 30. Jovicic M. 44. Korczakowski I. 95. Mansfeld M. 66. Mody Sy M. 11. Norlin G. 12. Sydorenko D. (G) 49. Szymoniak O.	35. Jakubowski F. 21. Kalata K. 23. Kusztal P. 6. Lelito B. 10. Mlynarczyk A. 1. Piechowiak B. (G) 29. Rychert K. 99. Smoczynski M. 19. Wnuk A.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Tokarczyk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Stanclik D. ⚽, Serafin J. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Stefaniak M. ⚽,
11', Grudzinski M. 🟨,
41', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Apolinarski J. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Petrovic Z. ⚽,
60', Stanek M. ↓, Smoczynski M. ↑,
60', Kendzia J. ↓, Mlynarczyk A. ↑,
64', Hajda W. 🟨,
66', Apolinarski J. ↓, Rychert K. ↑,
70', Wolczek A. ↓, Kusztal P. ↑,
70', Stefaniak M. ↓, Kalata K. ↑,
71', Hajda W. ↓, Fucak K. ↑,
71', Cordoba A. ↓, Norlin G. ↑,
75', Maliszewski I. 🟨,
77', Maliszewski I. ↓, Szymoniak O. ↑,
87', Antonik K. ↓, Jovicic M. ↑,
87', Serafin J. ↓, Korczakowski I. ↑,
90+1', Szymoniak O. 🟨,
90+5', Niedzielski J. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 2.

Miedź is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Warta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Miedź may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Warta has had a series of away games.

Miedź might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Legnica: 4.51% Warta Poznan: 1.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Warta Poznan	9	5	0	4	17:13	4	15
5	Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
23.08.26	Miedź Legnica - Arka Gdynia	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Unia Skierniewice - Miedź Legnica	0:3 ✺
08.08.26	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Miedź Legnica - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWT
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
21.08.26	Chrobry Głogów - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Odra Opole - Warta Poznań	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Warta Poznań	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Warta Poznań - Resovia Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
31.07.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Warta Poznań	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.04.25	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	3:2
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	0:0
Polish Division 1
04.10.24	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	1:4
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.02.23	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	1:1
30.07.22	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	1:2
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	0:1
Polish Division 1
27.06.20	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	0:0

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