The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chrobry Głogów 38.1%
Draw 26.3%
Warta Poznań 35.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.4%
23.7%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
23.8%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chrobry Głogów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Chrobry Głogów - Warta Poznań Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chrobry won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Warta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Chrobry has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:13 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chrobry against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Warta Poznań - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.