Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Migori Youth		Police FC

	1	X	2
	3.40	2.62	2.25
	3.47	2.53	2.34
	3.51	2.74	2.26	Watch
	3.40	2.50	2.30
	3.49	2.69	2.30
	3.45	2.70	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (4.11)	2.63 ↓ (2.88)	2.29 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Migori Youth
26.2%

Draw
34.4%

Police FC
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22%

31.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Migori Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Police FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Migori Youth - Police FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this matchup, Police is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Migori	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
15	Police FC	3	0	2	1	2:3	-1	2

Last Results with these Odds

Police FC - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 46.57%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Migori Youth FC
Kenyan Super League
01.06.26	Kisumu All-Stars - Migori Youth	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Mombasa United - Migori Youth	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kabati - Migori Youth	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Migori Youth - Naivas	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Luanda Villa - Migori Youth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTWL
- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan FKF Cup
14.06.26	Tusker - Police FC	2:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	Police FC - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
16.05.26	Police FC - Bandari	1:0 penalties ✺
02.05.26	Shabana - Police FC	0:1 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
25.04.26	Shabana - Police FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWWT

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