Match Info

Super League - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Mombasa United		Migori Youth

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.82	3.4
	2.14	2.81	3.47
	2.15	2.82	3.55
	2	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.3)	2.84 ↓ (3)	3.41 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mombasa United
42.3%

Draw
31.5%

Migori Youth
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

31.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mombasa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Migori Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mombasa United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Migori Youth than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Mombasa United - Migori Youth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Mombasa United is Qualified for Premier League

Migori Youth is Qualified for Premier League

Mombasa United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Migori Youth is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mombasa United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mombasa United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Migori	36	24	5	7	54:27	27	77
3	Mombasa United	36	23	3	10	49:31	18	72

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mombasa United
Kenyan Super League
11.04.26	Kibera Black Stars - Mombasa United	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Mombasa United - Vihiga United	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Mombasa United - MCF	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mombasa United - Kabati	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Equity Bank - Mombasa United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW
- Migori Youth FC
Kenyan Super League
18.04.26	Kabati - Migori Youth	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Migori Youth - Naivas	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Luanda Villa - Migori Youth	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Migori Youth - Talanta	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vihiga United - Migori Youth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
12.12.25	Migori Youth - Mombasa United	3:2

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