Match Info

FKF Mozzart Bet Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Shabana		Police FC

	1	X	2
	2.89	2.37	2.8
	2.89	2.5	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.65)	2.44 ↓ (2.9)	2.77 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabana
30.9%

Draw
36.7%

Police FC
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

34.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Shabana - Police FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Omar A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In recent matches, Shabana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Police is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shabana won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Shabana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Shabana - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.32%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
25.04.26	Shabana - Police FC	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Shabana - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Nairobi United - Shabana	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Shabana - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Gor Mahia - Shabana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWL
- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
25.04.26	Shabana - Police FC	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	AFC Leopards - Police FC	0:3 ✺
14.04.26	Mathare United - Police FC	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Police FC - Tusker	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Police FC - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
25.04.26	Shabana - Police FC	0:0
30.11.25	Police FC - Shabana	0:1
10.11.24	Shabana - Police FC	1:0
17.02.24	Police FC - Shabana	1:0
16.09.23	Shabana - Police FC	1:1

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