Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Miguelturreño		Illescas

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.7	1.5
	6.5	3.65	1.37
	6.8	3.9	1.38
	7.71	3.8	1.37
	8.5	4.7	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7 ↑ (4.69)	3.95 ↑ (3.17)	1.39 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguelturreño
12.8%

Draw
22.7%

Illescas
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

27.3%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

22%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguelturreño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguelturreño's form might have worsened.

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illescas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguelturreño than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Miguelturreño - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Miguelturreño has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Illescas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Illescas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Illescas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Miguelturreño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Miguelturreño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
26.02.22	Villacañas - Miguelturreño	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Miguelturreño - Manchego	0:3 ✺
13.02.22	Conquense - Miguelturreño	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Miguelturreño - Almansa	0:4 ✺
02.02.22	Miguelturreño - Torrijos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.02.22	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Villarrubia - Illescas	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Illescas - Quintanar del Rey	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Illescas - Villacañas	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Manchego - Illescas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
07.11.21	Illescas - Miguelturreño	1:0

Miguelturreño - Illescas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide