Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Mustapekka Areena (Helsinki)


	Gnistan		HIFK

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4	Watch
	1.87	3.2	3.6
	1.95	3.15	3.9
	1.93	3.47	4.19
	1.91	3.1	3.75
	1.87	3.45	4
	1.87	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.06)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	3.88 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
48.5%

Draw
28%

HIFK
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Gnistan - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 6 - 60%). HIFK will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gnistan: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Koski J. (C) 30. Mabinda J. 16. Rasimus K. 5. Takamaki T. 14. Olander H. 20. Medo 6. Woivalin H. 24. Sukunda Z. 10. Latonen J. 23. Liikonen K. 17. Sarr M.	31. Tiainen J. (G) 2. Heimonen J. 4. Aijo I. 23. Arajuuri P. (C) 27. Finnas R. 13. Jarvinen J. 30. Pallas E. 10. Ahadi M. 15. Kujanpaa A. 11. Saira N. 9. Ulmanen A.
Substitutes
32. Ala-Iso S. 33. Linnas O. (G) 25. Malolo R. 9. Markkanen E. 26. Tiihonen A. 19. Tolonen M. 7. Weckstrom L.	14. Erikson Carlos 3. Hackspik J. 16. Hypponen A. 1. Jammeh S. (G) 6. Malolo O. 25. Pasi T. 17. Varis E.
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Okkonen S.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

Gnistan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches HIFK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gnistan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently HIFK have a series of guest games.

Gnistan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gnistan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
17.06.23	Salon Palloilijat - Gnistan	1:3 ✺
11.06.23	Gnistan - SJK Akatemia	5:2 ✺
04.06.23	Gnistan - JäPS	0:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
31.05.23	KTP Kotka - Gnistan	2:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
27.05.23	KPV Kokkola - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTLW
- HIFK
Finnish Cup
22.06.23	KuPS Kuopio - HIFK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
17.06.23	SJK Akatemia - HIFK	2:2 ✺
07.06.23	Ekenäs - HIFK	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	HIFK - FF Jaro	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
30.05.23	Lahti - HIFK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
14.04.23	HIFK - Gnistan	0:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
03.03.23	Gnistan - HIFK	2:0
28.01.23	HIFK - Gnistan	1:1
Finnish Cup
19.01.18	HIFK - Gnistan	1:1
11.02.17	HIFK - Gnistan	0:2

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