Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto (Mikkeli)


	Mikkelin Palloilijat		KuPS Akatemia

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.25
	2.35	3.6	2.4
	2.65	3.7	2.21
	2.73	3.9	2.34
	2.68	3.67	2.26	Watch
	2.38	3.6	2.5
	2.85	3.56	2.29
	2.65	3.7	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2)	3.65 ↓ (3.75)	2.31 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Palloilijat
34.9%

Draw
25.2%

KuPS Akatemia
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

24.1%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

24.3%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikkelin Palloilijat's form might have worsened.

KuPS Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KuPS Akatemia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikkelin Palloilijat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KuPS Akatemia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mikkelin Palloilijat - KuPS Akatemia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Uronen J. (G) 24. Ali Abubakar T. 7. Chishima A. 13. Coker M. 6. El Alami R. (C) 16. Forsell N. 11. Hayhanen O. 19. Janhunen V. 15. Kuek A. 3. Kuismala J. 25. Tsopgni N.	1. Pitkanen M. (G) 18. Balde O. 22. Hukkanen T. 15. Kivijarvi J. 23. Mattila N. (C) 17. Paasisalo L. 21. Sahimaa L. 28. Salo R. 27. Tanninen E. 2. Tikkanen R. 11. Ylonen E.
Substitutes
5. Karttunen A. 9. Karttunen V. 12. Kimari O. 4. Laiho V. 2. Torniainen A. 8. Torniainen O. 1. Volotinen S. (G)	12. Aimola J. (G) 26. Baseme A. 13. Kauppinen E. 8. Kivijarvi N. 10. Lemarie A. 7. Puolitaival E. 20. Savola I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Coker M. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Ali Abubakar T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Paasisalo L. ↓, Puolitaival E. ↑,
46', Tikkanen R. 🟥,
48', Tanninen E. ↓, Kauppinen E. ↑,
52', Sahimaa L. 🟨,
54', Ali Abubakar T. 🟨,
61', Hayhanen O. ↓, Karttunen V. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Coker M. ⚽,
76', Sahimaa L. ↓, Kivijarvi N. ↑,
76', Kivijarvi J. ↓, Baseme A. ↑,
83', Ali Abubakar T. ↓, Torniainen O. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

Mikkelin Palloilijat has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KuPS Akatemia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mikkelin Palloilijat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
11.05.25	Keski-Uusimaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
06.05.25	Lahden Reipas - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
03.05.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Jazz Pori	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Espoon Palloseura - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - RoPS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL
- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
11.05.25	KuPS Akatemia - Atlantis Helsinki	5:2 ✺
03.05.25	KPV Kokkola - KuPS Akatemia	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Keski-Uusimaa - KuPS Akatemia	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	KuPS Akatemia - Jazz Pori	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.04.25	KuPS Akatemia - JJK Jyväskylä	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.03.24	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KuPS Akatemia	2:0

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