Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 36

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	SPAL		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.06	3.3	3.45
	2.11	3.28	3.48	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.15	3.26	3.36	Watch
	2.06	3.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.24)	3.24 ↓ (3.26)	3.37 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
44.3%

Draw
28.4%

Pontedera
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.3%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

27.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

SPAL - Pontedera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SPAL (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 6. Fiordaliso A. 23. Arena M. 3. Bruscagin M. (C) 28. Calapai L. 29. Nador S. 5. Awua T. 18. Ntenda J. 27. Parigini V. 25. Molina J. I. 40. Spini C.	30. Vivoli N. (G) 21. Perretta G. 29. Moretti A. 19. Espeche M. 7. Migliardi F. 17. Vitali P. 18. Guidi M. 13. Scaccabarozzi J. 16. Sala M. 14. Corona G. 9. Italeng J.
Substitutes
7. Antenucci M. 26. Bassoli A. 33. D'Orazio L. 8. El Kaddouri O. 15. Haoudi H. 17. Iglio G. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 19. Mignanelli D. 99. Nina C. 4. Paghera F. 10. Radrezza I. 11. Rao E. 20. Zammarini R. 31. Zenti A. (G)	1. Calvani S. (G) 24. Coviello A. 11. Gaddini M. 15. Lipari M. 3. Maggini F. 28. Maiello F. 5. Martinelli R. 25. Pietra N. 6. Pretato M. 20. Sarpa A. 12. Tantalocchi E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Spini C. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Moretti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Vitali P. 🟨,
67', Spini C. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
67', Awua T. ↓, El Kaddouri O. ↑,
71', Parigini V. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
71', Fiordaliso A. ↓, D'Orazio L. ↑,
73', Sala M. 🟨,
77', Vitali P. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
77', Sala M. ↓, Lipari M. ↑,
81', Arena M. 🟨,
82', Italeng J. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
83', Migliardi F. ↓, Sarpa A. ↑,
87', Nador S. ↓, Zammarini R. ↑,
90+5', Rao E. 🟨,
90+5', Corona G. ↓, Martinelli R. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pontedera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

SPAL will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in SPAL: Bidaoui S. (Muscle Injury) Camelio U. (Muscle Injury) Karlsson O. (Injury) Paghera F. (Inactive) Parravicini F. (Heart Problems) Sottini E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pontedera: Cerretti C. (Inactive)

Last 9 head-to-head matches SPAL won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pontedera - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
06.04.25	Sassari Torres - SPAL	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	SPAL - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Pineto - SPAL	3:2 ✺
17.03.25	SPAL - Ternana	0:3 ✺
11.03.25	Pianese - SPAL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTLLW
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
05.04.25	Pontedera - Lucchese	4:1 ✺
28.03.25	Pianese - Pontedera	0:3 ✺
22.03.25	Pontedera - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Milan Futuro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Pontedera - Pescara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.12.24	Pontedera - SPAL	5:1
16.03.24	Pontedera - SPAL	2:1
12.11.23	SPAL - Pontedera	0:1
Club Friendly
30.07.22	SPAL - Pontedera	1:0
06.09.20	SPAL - Pontedera	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
08.02.16	SPAL - Pontedera	1:0
26.09.15	Pontedera - SPAL	0:2

SPAL - Pontedera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide