Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Millonarios		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	5	Watch
	1.65	4	4.75
	1.65	4	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.93	5.17
	1.68	3.93	5.16
	1.57	4	4.6	Watch
	1.68	4.05	4.81	Watch
	1.61	3.85	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	3.97 ↑ (3.76)	4.91 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Millonarios
57.1%

Draw
23.7%

Bolívar
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Millonarios - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Bolívar will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Montero A. (G) 14. Silva D. (C) 26. Llinas A. 4. Vargas J. P. 37. Hernandez J. 21. Pereira J. 28. Vega S. 7. Rodriguez E. 18. Ruiz D. 34. Navarro S. 23. Castro L.	1. Lampe C. (G) 26. Saavedra E. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Sagredo J. 4. Sagredo J. 19. Da Costa F. 23. Justiniano L. (C) 11. Vaca R. 10. Bruno Savio 27. Vaca H. 17. Rodriguez P.
Substitutes
33. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 17. Arias J. 20. Banguero D. 41. Campaz Sandoval B. S. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 32. Giordana S. 8. Giraldo D. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 12. Novoa D. (G) 13. Quinones Y. 30. Rosales R. 5. Vasquez L.	9. Algaranaz C. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 12. Desabato A. (G) 6. Ordonez A. 8. Paz L. 5. Quinteros J. 20. Saucedo F. 30. Uzeda J. 33. Vaca Moreno E. 21. Velasquez J. 7. Villarroel M.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Sagredo J. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
34', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
40', Castro L. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
43', 1 - 0, Llinas A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vega S. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
61', Giraldo D. 🟨,
65', Navarro S. ↓, Rosales R. ↑,
66', Rosales R. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Vaca R. ⚽,
76', Rodriguez P. ↓, Algaranaz C. ↑,
76', Vaca H. ↓, Chavez Cruz L. L. ↑,
81', Giraldo D. ↓, Quinones Y. ↑,
81', Bruno Savio 🟨,
81', Rodriguez E. ↓, Campaz Sandoval B. S. ↑,
84', Giordana S. 🟨,
89', Bruno Savio ↓, Quinteros J. ↑,
90', Justiniano L. 🟨,
90+5', Vaca R. 🟨,
90+8', Llinas A. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Millonarios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Millonarios is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
04.05.24	Junior Barranquilla - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Millonarios - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.04.24	Palestino - Millonarios	3:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
20.04.24	Deportivo Pereira - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWW
- Bolívar La Paz
Copa Libertadores
24.04.24	Bolívar - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.04.24	Bolívar - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.04.24	Bolívar - Millonarios	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
07.04.24	GVCD San José - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
11.04.24	Bolívar - Millonarios	3:2

Upcoming Matches