Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Palestino		Millonarios

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.45
	2.8	3.2	2.55	Watch
	3.05	3.09	2.58
	3.05	3.09	2.58
	2.8	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.97	3.24	2.47	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.61)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	2.51 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
32.4%

Draw
30.1%

Millonarios
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

30.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	62.5%	37.5%

Palestino - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rigamonti C. (G) 28. Zuniga D. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 13. Suarez C. 10. Davila Carvajal M. 22. Chamorro F. 14. Abrigo J. 23. Martinez Arce A. E. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 27. Marabel J. 11. Benitez J.	31. Montero A. (G) 34. Navarro S. 26. Llinas A. 4. Vargas J. P. 37. Hernandez J. 28. Vega S. 14. Silva D. 7. Rodriguez E. 10. Catano D. 18. Ruiz D. 23. Castro L.
Substitutes
20. Araya M. 26. Contreras D. (G) 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 18. Fuentes M. 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 5. Linares N. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 24. Palacio P. 21. Riquelme A. 17. Roman I. 19. Vejar B.	33. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 20. Banguero D. 9. Carvajal J. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 32. Giordana S. 8. Giraldo D. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 12. Novoa D. (G) 21. Pereira J. 1. Romero Jimenez C. A. (G) 30. Rosales R. 5. Vasquez L.
Coaches
Sanchez P.	Gamero A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Chamorro F. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Castro L. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
35', Catano D. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
38', Vega S. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Chamorro F. ⚽, Martinez Arce A. E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Carrasco B. ↓, Linares N. ↑,
58', Abrigo J. 🟨,
62', Abrigo J. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
69', Zuniga D. ↓, Roman I. ↑,
69', Benitez J. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
69', Chamorro F. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Vejar B. ⚽,
76', Vega S. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
84', Ruiz D. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
84', Giraldo D. ↓, Vasquez L. ↑,
85', Hernandez J. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Palestino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Millonarios is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palestino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
21.04.24	Palestino - Universidad de Chile	2:2 ✺
17.04.24	Palestino - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Ñublense - Palestino	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.24	Flamengo - Palestino	2:0 ✺
04.04.24	Palestino - Bolívar	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWLL
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
20.04.24	Deportivo Pereira - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla	3:2 ✺
14.04.24	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.04.24	Bolívar - Millonarios	3:2 ✺
02.04.24	Millonarios - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLT

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