Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Matorel L. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Colombia	18:30	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	17:30	Fanatiz
South America	—	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	18:30	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Millonarios		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5.4	Watch
	1.64	3.77	5.72
	1.6	3.85	5.58	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5
	1.63	3.64	5.39	Watch
	1.58	3.66	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.5)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	5.55 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
57.8%

Draw
25.4%

Rionegro Águilas
16.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.7%

25.3%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.1%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Millonarios aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Novoa D. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 26. Llinas A. (C) 6. Mosquera S. 17. Arias J. 22. Valencia S. 19. Garcia M. 18. Urena R. 7. Quintero D. 23. Castro L. 27. Contreras R.	1. Arboleda I. (G) 26. Lozano D. 29. Lopes H. 5. Hernandez D. 32. Mena J. 10. Uruena B. 16. Pineda J. 19. Lozano F. (C) 18. Alvarez A. 99. Obregon J. 9. Rivaldo J.
Substitutes
24. Angulo J. 20. Banguero D. 33. Castro A. 1. De Amores G. (G) 9. Falcao R. 99. Hurtado J. 35. Mosquera S. 3. Samuel M. 28. Vega S.	11. Canozales C. 20. Higgins A. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 27. Londono C. 25. Roa J. 12. Salazar A. (G) 15. Suarez Chalare F. A.
Coaches
Bustos F.	Nino J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Urena R. 🟨,
32', Alvarez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alvarez A. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
46', Quintero D. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Falcao R. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Pineda J. 🟨,
62', Uruena B. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
65', Castro L. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
66', Lozano D. 🟨,
70', Contreras R. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
70', Llinas A. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
71', Rivaldo J. 🟨,
76', Sarabia C. ↓, Samuel M. ↑,
80', Pineda J. ↓, Roa J. ↑,
80', Obregon J. ↓, Londono C. ↑,
87', Valencia S. 🟨,
89', Falcao R. 🟨,
90', Banguero D. 🟨,
90+3', Angulo J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.

Millonarios has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rionegro Águilas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Millonarios is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Millonarios	16	6	8	2	24:14	10	26
8	Aguilas	16	5	7	4	21:20	1	22

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Millonarios: 9.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
08.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
07.02.26	Rionegro Águilas - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Llaneros SA - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
29.08.25	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	1:2
16.03.25	Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas	1:0
25.08.24	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	2:1
16.02.24	Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas	0:1
03.09.23	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	2:0
19.03.23	Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas	2:2
14.08.22	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	0:0

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