Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Cali		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.18	3.2	3.35	Watch
	2.24	3.35	3.42
	2.19	3.29	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.19	3.22	3.27	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.32)	3.24 ↑ (2.95)	3.28 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
42.6%

Draw
28.9%

Millonarios
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

30.3%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Deportivo Cali - Millonarios Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Millonarios will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Cali: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Cali will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 28. Luis Orejuela 2. Aguilar F. 4. Alvarez F. 3. Correa A. 10. Reynoso E. 25. Colorado A. 6. Pajaro R. 19. Martinez J. 23. Titi 9. Dinenno J. (C)	12. Novoa D. (G) 2. Sarabia C. 6. Mosquera S. 26. Llinas A. (C) 17. Arias J. 22. Valencia S. 19. Garcia M. 7. Quintero D. 28. Vega S. 23. Castro L. 27. Contreras R.
Substitutes
17. Arango J. 33. Galindo J. 8. Giraldo D. 18. Hurtado A. 39. Orozco M. 21. Quinones J. 13. Quintero Y. 38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F.	24. Angulo J. 20. Banguero D. 33. Castro A. 1. De Amores G. (G) 9. Falcao R. 35. Mosquera S. 3. Samuel M. 8. Victoria Palacios D. S. 30. Viveros S.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Rodriguez O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Aguilar F. 🟨,
35', Colorado A. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Valencia S. 🟨,
56', Quintero D. 🟨,
64', Quintero D. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
64', Castro L. ↓, Falcao R. ↑,
68', Martinez J. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
69', Dinenno J. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
69', Sarabia C. ↓, Samuel M. ↑,
69', Valencia S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
73', Garcia M. 🟨,
76', Garcia M. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
84', Reynoso E. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
84', Luis Orejuela ↓, Viafara F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 1.

Millonarios is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Deportivo Cali is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Cali	13	7	4	2	20:9	11	25
6	Millonarios	14	5	7	2	19:12	7	22

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Cali - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.5%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Millonarios - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 31.23%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
01.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pasto	3:0 ✺
29.01.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
13.11.25	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLT
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
02.02.26	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.26	Boca Juniors - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
08.08.25	Millonarios - Deportivo Cali	3:3
23.02.25	Deportivo Cali - Millonarios	3:1
04.10.24	Deportivo Cali - Millonarios	0:1
23.03.24	Millonarios - Deportivo Cali	1:1
24.08.23	Deportivo Cali - Millonarios	0:0
05.03.23	Millonarios - Deportivo Cali	2:0
06.08.22	Millonarios - Deportivo Cali	4:2

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