Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Astana		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3	Watch
	2.14	3.64	2.94
	1.83	3.81	3.62	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	2.2	3.55	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.25)	3.54 ↑ (3.12)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
46.4%

Draw
26.3%

Ordabasy
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.5%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.

Ordabasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Astana - Ordabasy Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Astana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 72. Basmanov S. 6. Kasym A. 15. Beysebekov A. (C) 11. Vorogovskiy Y. 7. Karaman D. 4. Anuarov S. 8. Basic I. 10. Tomasov M. 81. Karimov R. 47. Abrayev M.	1. Shayzada B. (G) 22. Astanov S. 25. Maliy S. (C) 3. Kilama G. 5. Antic N. 11. Vakulko Y. 77. Abagna D. 55. Amanovic A. 19. Leo Natel 9. Everton 45. Mitkov D.
Substitutes
22. Abdurasulov A. 20. Ahanonu N. 2. Bartolec K. 9. Islamkhan B. 99. Karpikov D. (G) 74. Seysen M. (G) 77. Shomko D. 91. Token A. 52. Tokenov T. 82. Valikhan R. 19. Zhaksylyk N.	15. Amir Z. 16. Capatina M. 23. Khalmatov M. 7. Naumets V. 21. Toktybay B. 20. Toktybay M. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A.
Coaches
Babayan G.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Maliy S. 🟨,
45+2', Basic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Leo Natel ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
60', Abagna D. ↓, Capatina M. ↑,
60', Mitkov D. ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
62', Amanovic A. ↓, Khalmatov M. ↑,
68', Abrayev M. ↓, Islamkhan B. ↑,
69', Everton ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
73', Basmanov S. ↓, Bartolec K. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Amir Z. ⚽,
85', Anuarov S. ↓, Abdurasulov A. ↑,
87', Vorogovskiy Y. 🟨,
90+1', Kasym A. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Vorogovskiy Y. ⚽, Islamkhan B. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 3.

In recent matches, Astana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ordabasy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ordabasy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Astana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Astana won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Ordabasy: 76.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	27	20	4	3	55:19	36	64
3	FC Astana	26	14	6	6	43:27	16	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.26	Kairat - Astana	4:0 ✺
20.03.26	Astana - Tobol Kostanay	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Kaisar - Astana	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Astana - Zhetysu	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Zhejiang Professional - Astana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTWT
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Cup
08.04.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Ordabasy	2:4 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
04.04.26	Ordabasy - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Ordabasy - Kaisar	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Zhenis - Ordabasy	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Ordabasy - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
13.07.25	Ordabasy - Astana	1:0
05.04.25	Astana - Ordabasy	2:1
22.09.24	Ordabasy - Astana	2:4
16.06.24	Astana - Ordabasy	0:1
24.09.23	Ordabasy - Astana	1:2
Kazakh Cup
06.07.23	Ordabasy - Astana	2:0 ET
28.06.23	Astana - Ordabasy	1:0

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