Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan)

Referee: Nozhenko S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atyrau		Astana

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.40	1.63
	4.70	3.45	1.56	Watch
	5.16	3.62	1.63
	5.41	3.75	1.57	Watch
	5.15	3.20	1.65
	4.74	3.69	1.70	Watch
	4.60	3.45	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↓ (6.29)	3.51 ↑ (3.39)	1.62 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrau
18.4%

Draw
25.8%

Astana
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

27.5%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

26.1%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Atyrau - Astana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Tkachenko Y. 78. Khvalko E. 71. Prce F. 17. Kalmuratov K. (C) 15. Ofori E. 44. Maksimovic D. 20. Boranshiev A. 8. Stanic M. 90. Pantelic D. 14. Dorofeev K.	74. Seysen M. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 3. Kalaica B. 5. Kazukolovas K. 11. Vorogovskiy Y. 9. Islamkhan B. 7. Karaman D. 8. Basic I. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 81. Karimov R. 72. Basmanov S.
Substitutes
9. Abdulla A. 47. Abdumansur H. 27. Berdesh N. 21. Deputy D. 7. Henrique 5. Satanov S. 11. Seytkaliev A. 23. Shaykhov B. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 18. Trufanov Y. . Zhaksylyk B. 25. Zhumagali S.	47. Abrayev M. 20. Ahanonu N. 4. Anuarov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 29. Buric N. 93. Condric J. (G) 99. Karpikov D. (G) 6. Kasym A. 17. Marat D. 21. Merkel A. 45. Miladinovic I.
Coaches
Smakov S.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Islamkhan B. ⚽,
32', Khvalko E. 🟨,
38', Basic I. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Basmanov S. ⚽, Islamkhan B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Pantelic D. ⚽,
49', Basic I. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
59', Boranshiev A. ↓, Henrique ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Tomasov M. ⚽, Islamkhan B. (A),
67', Basmanov S. ↓, Abrayev M. ↑,
67', Karimov R. ↓, Buric N. ↑,
67', Islamkhan B. ↓, Kasym A. ↑,
81', Stanic M. ↓, Seytkaliev A. ↑,
81', Maksimovic D. ↓, Abdulla A. ↑,
81', Dorofeev K. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
82', Henrique 🟨,
83', Karaman D. ↓, Merkel A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 3, Henrique ⚽, Prce F. (A),
90+7', Buric N. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 1.

Recent form of Atyrau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Astana is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Atyrau has had a series of home games.

In this match, Astana is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 11:50. (average 0.6:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.3:1.6).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

FC Astana: 0.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FC Astana	25	14	6	5	42:25	17	48
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
16.08.26	Atyrau - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Atyrau - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atyrau - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Atyrau - Kairat	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTLL
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
16.08.26	Kyzylzhar - Astana	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Astana - Okzhetpes	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ulytau - Astana	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Astana - Altai Semey	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Astana - Dinamo City	1:4 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
26.04.26	Astana - Atyrau	2:1
30.04.25	Atyrau - Astana	0:2
26.04.25	Astana - Atyrau	2:1
30.10.24	Astana - Atyrau	3:2
18.05.24	Atyrau - Astana	1:0
22.07.23	Astana - Atyrau	0:0
28.05.23	Atyrau - Astana	0:0

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