The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 54.8%
Draw 22.2%
Arsenal U21 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
24.2%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
25.7%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.
Arsenal U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milton Keynes Dons that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.4%
11.8%
5.9%
Milton Keynes Dons - Arsenal U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. MacGillivray C. (G) 34. Tripp C. 5. Sherring S. 3. Lewington D. (C) 2. Pritchard J. 28. Carroll T. 6. Williams M. 21. Ilunga B. 33. Singh-Hurditt D. 39. Finch S. 9. Harrison E.
54. Martin L. (G) 61. Robinson J. 47. Kacurri M. 50. Monlouis Z. (C) 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 56. Oulad M'Hand S. 44. Gower J. 63. Rosiak M. 46. Kabia I. 37. Butler-Oyedeji N. 82. Annous A.
Substitutes
12. Harness N. (G) 18. Leigh T. 38. Lewis-Burgess K. 49. Medwynter C. 40. Silver R. 27. White J. 37. Wood A.
39. Dudziak H. 42. Ferdinand S. 43. Forde R. 86. Julienne T. 51. Nichols J. 55. Okonkwo B. (G) 59. Quesada E.
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Ali M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
26', 1 - 0, Harrison E. ⚽, Lewington D. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Annous A. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Harrison E. ⚽, Finch S. (A),
36', 2 - 2, Butler-Oyedeji N. ⚽, Robinson J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Robinson J. ↓, Nichols J. ↑,
51', Sherring S. ↓, Lewis-Burgess K. ↑,
63', Harrison E. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
64', Finch S. ↓, Medwynter C. ↑,
75', Pritchard J. ↓, Wood A. ↑,
75', Singh-Hurditt D. ↓, Silver R. ↑,
84', Leigh T. 🟨,
89', Kabia I. ↓, Forde R. ↑,
90', Gower J. ↓, Dudziak H. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Rosiak M. (Pen),
1, Lewington D. (Pen),
2, Oulad M'Hand S. (Pen),
2, Williams M. (Pen),
3, Dudziak H. (Pen),
3, Carroll T. (Pen),
4, Kacurri M. (Pen),
4, Leigh T. (Pen),
Preview
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
MK Dons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.