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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 66.9%
Draw 20.9%
Tranmere Rovers 12.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.3%
18.9%
9.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76.2%
17.7%
9.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-3%)
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 25. Nelson C. 32. Sanders J. 6. Kelly L. 2. Jones G. 26. Wiles B. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 14. Tomlinson J. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 13. Paterson C.
33. Marosi M. (G) 15. Tamen W. 5. Smith N. 28. Negru S. 14. Joseph J. 44. Watson R. 8. Finley S. (C) 26. Plant J. 11. Patrick O. 7. Whitaker C. 41. Woolery K.
Substitutes
10. Collins A. 7. Crowley D. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 16. Nemane A. 15. Offord L. 27. Trueman C. (G)
12. Barrett J. (G) 23. Bristow E. 9. Dennis K. 29. Ironside J. 42. Kenneh N. 2. Norman C.
Coaches
Warne P.
Wild P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Mendez-Laing N. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. ⚽, Mendez-Laing N. (A),
38', Patrick O. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Woolery K. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
66', Finley S. 🟨,
70', Plant J. ↓, Bristow E. ↑,
72', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
73', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
77', Bristow E. 🟨,
78', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
79', Finley S. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
80', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
88', Paterson C. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
88', Wiles B. ↓, Offord L. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
Recent performances by MK Dons have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tranmere's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, MK Dons is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Knee Injury)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Murphy J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Tranmere: O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
United-kingdom
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MacGillivray C. (G) 
Ekpiteta M. 
Kelly L. 
Jones G. 
Mendez-Laing N. 
Marosi M. (G) 
Negru S. 
Collins A. 
Nemane A. 
Bristow E. 
Kenneh N. 
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