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Current Win Probability
Harrogate Town 18.1%
Draw 22.7%
Milton Keynes Dons 59.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.9%
23.9%
57.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
23.3%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 2. Asare Z. 15. O'Connor A. 6. Burrell W. (C) 3. Slater J. 27. Fox B. 4. Evans J. 17. Sutton L. 14. McAleny C. 22. Smith R. 9. McCoulsky S.
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 2. Jones G. 21. Ekpiteta M. 15. Offord L. 16. Nemane A. 18. Collar W. 6. Kelly L. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 22. Mellish J. 13. Paterson C. 10. Collins A.
Substitutes
29. Barnes L. 5. Bradbury T. 25. Cursons T. 28. Etherington M. 44. Falkingham J. 23. Jameson K. 1. Oxley M. (G)
7. Crowley D. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 17. Leko J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 20. Thompson-Sommers K. 34. Tripp C. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Weaver S.
Warne P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
14', Evans J. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Collins A. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
29', 0 - 3, Gilbey A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', O'Connor A. ↓, Bradbury T. ↑,
46', Burrell W. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
61', McAleny C. ↓, Cursons T. ↑,
68', Fox B. ↓, Falkingham J. ↑,
71', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
71', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
75', 0 - 4, Gilbey A. ⚽, Mellish J. (A),
78', Cursons T. 🟨,
81', Nemane A. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
82', Paterson C. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
82', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
90+6', Sutton L. ↓, Barnes L. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Cass L.
(Ankle Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
Thomson G.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Hogan S.
(Inactive)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
Sanders J.
(Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.5:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 2:5).
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Belshaw J. (G) 
O'Connor A. 
MacGillivray C. (G) 
Jones G. 
Nemane A. 
Collins A. 
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