The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 36%
Draw 28.9%
Milton Keynes Dons 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
28.7%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
28.8%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
54.5%
27.3%
Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Araujo H. 3. Iandolo E. 10. Payne J. 8. Bishop T. 16. Read A. 21. Edwards O. 19. Goodwin W. 9. Tovide S.
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 15. Offord L. 21. Ekpiteta M. 32. Sanders J. 2. Jones G. 7. Crowley D. 6. Kelly L. 10. Collins A. 22. Mellish J. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 13. Paterson C. (C)
Substitutes
15. Gape D. 2. Hunt R. 14. Lisbie K. 33. Mbick M. 12. Smith T. (G) 40. Terry F. 17. Williams J.
9. Hogan S. 17. Leko J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 16. Nemane A. 20. Thompson-Sommers K. 34. Tripp C. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Cowley D.
Warne P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Bishop T. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Offord L. 🟨,
61', Paterson C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
61', Crowley D. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
61', Collins A. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
64', Tovide S. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
64', Goodwin W. ↓, Mbick M. ↑,
83', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
87', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90', Leko J. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Payne J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Edwards O. ↓, Terry F. ↑,
90+5', Payne J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J.
(Inactive)
Flanagan T.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Tomlinson J.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Colchester: 3.34%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Colchester
8
2
4
2
10:12
-2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.08%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Macey M. (G) 
Vincent-Young K. 
MacGillivray C. (G) 
Jones G. 
Kelly L. 
Collins A. 
Nemane A. 
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