Match Info

League One - Round 4

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Wigan Athletic		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.65
	2.37	3.40	2.75
	2.45	3.4	2.65
	2.53	3.6	2.85
	2.4	3.56	2.74	Watch
	2.5	3.35	2.8
	2.43	3.4	2.73	Watch
	2.47	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.83)	3.46 ↑ (3.36)	2.73 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
38.6%

Draw
27.1%

Milton Keynes Dons
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wigan Athletic's performance.

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wigan Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	17.4%	8.7%

Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 56% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - MK Dons (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Whitworth J. (G) 23. Carragher J. 5. Burns F. 3. Fox M. 6. Weir J. 8. Power M. (C) 18. Gray C. 7. Murray F. 11. Costelloe D. 13. Harris L. 9. Perkins S.	1. MacGillivray C. (G) 5. Goode C. 32. Sanders J. 35. Nelson C. (C) 4. Barlaser D. 19. Barnett R. 26. Wiles B. 24. Wintle R. 15. Bramall C. 9. Nombe S. 13. Paterson C.
Substitutes
2. Barrett C. 27. Burrowes B. 16. Harris A. 22. Mellish J. 19. Sze C. 1. Walsh J. (G) 10. Walsh R.	10. Collins A. 7. Crowley D. 23. Dennis W. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 8. Gilbey A. 2. Jones G. 17. Silvera S.
Coaches
Caldwell G.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Burns F. 🟨,
18', Sanders J. 🟨,
22', Harris L. ↓, Walsh R. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Weir J. ⚽, Power M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sanders J. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
46', Wiles B. ↓, Gilbey A. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Power M. ⚽,
62', Gilbey A. 🟨,
64', Barnett R. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
64', Barlaser D. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
64', Nombe S. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
66', Burns F. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
66', Gray C. ↓, Barrett C. ↑,
72', Costelloe D. 🟨,
74', Costelloe D. ↓, Burrowes B. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Weir J. ⚽, Burrowes B. (A),
82', 3 - 1, Collins A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 2.

Wigan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Wigan: Saydee C. (Inactive)

There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).

Outrights of English League One for now

Wigan: 0.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
23	MK Dons	8	0	6	2	9:15	-6	6
24	Wigan	8	1	1	6	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.23%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
30.08.26	AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Wigan Athletic - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Wigan Athletic - Aston Villa U21	3:2 ✺
English League One
15.08.26	Cambridge United - Wigan Athletic	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Barnsley - Wigan Athletic	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
29.08.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester City	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Norwich City - Milton Keynes Dons	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
12.03.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Wigan Athletic	1:1
19.10.21	Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2
06.03.21	Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	3:0
27.10.20	Milton Keynes Dons - Wigan Athletic	2:0
07.04.18	Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	5:1
05.08.17	Milton Keynes Dons - Wigan Athletic	0:1
English FA Cup
14.01.14	Milton Keynes Dons - Wigan Athletic	1:3 ET

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