Match Info

League One - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)


	Wycombe Wanderers		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.50	3.00	Watch
	2.25	3.60	2.85
	2.25	3.55	2.95	Watch
	2.28	3.85	3.01
	2.31	3.57	2.86	Watch
	2.18	3.80	3.00
	2.26	3.52	2.92	Watch
	2.21	3.60	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.38)	3.62 ↑ (3.48)	2.95 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
42.1%

Draw
26%

Milton Keynes Dons
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.4%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

25.8%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Wycombe Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wycombe will win (votes: 3 - 60%). MK Dons will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hazard C. (G) 22. Parker S. 17. Casey D. 26. Taylor C. 45. Hagelskjaer A. 20. Henderson E. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 44. Onyedinma F. (C) 12. Woodrow C. 29. Mothersille M. 15. Wareham J.	1. MacGillivray C. (G) 2. Jones G. 35. Nelson C. 21. Ekpiteta M. 15. Bramall C. 4. Barlaser D. 19. Barnett R. 24. Wintle R. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 10. Collins A. 9. Nombe S.
Substitutes
27. Cook S. 61. Keita M. 5. Morley A. 4. Scowen J. 19. Tezgel E. 11. Thomas S. 1. van Sas M. (G)	7. Crowley D. 23. Dennis W. (G) 28. Matete J. 13. Paterson C. 32. Sanders J. 17. Silvera S. 26. Wiles B.
Coaches
Duff M.	Warne P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Casey D. ⚽, Boyd-Munce C. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Henderson E. ⚽,
36', Gilbey A. 🟨,
41', Collins A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Barlaser D. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
46', Barnett R. ↓, Paterson C. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
55', 2 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
59', 2 - 3, Nelson C. ⚽, Crowley D. (A),
60', Mothersille M. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
73', Gilbey A. ↓, Wiles B. ↑,
73', Collins A. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
73', Parker S. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
74', 3 - 3, Wareham J. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
79', Woodrow C. ↓, Scowen J. ↑,
84', Ekpiteta M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There are questionable in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R. (Inactive) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wycombe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Outrights of English League One for now

Wycombe: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Wycombe	9	2	4	3	14:20	-6	10
23	MK Dons	8	0	6	2	9:15	-6	6

Last Results with these Odds

Wycombe Wanderers - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.64%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
01.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Stockport County - Wycombe Wanderers	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
15.08.26	Blackpool - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League One
02.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Leicester City	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Norwich City - Milton Keynes Dons	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
08.08.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2
English League One
01.04.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2
22.10.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1
08.05.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0
05.05.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0
29.01.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Milton Keynes Dons - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1

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