Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Mineros de Fresnillo		Tuzos UAZ

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.36	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.5)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	2.32 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Fresnillo
34.4%

Draw
26.8%

Tuzos UAZ
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Fresnillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Tuzos UAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Cabrera J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', 🟥,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1.

Mineros de Fresnillo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.8:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
05.09.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Ensenada	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Zapotlanejo - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLTWL
- Tuzos UAZ
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
06.09.25	Tuzos UAZ - Leones Negros 2	0:0 ✺
01.09.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tuzos UAZ	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Tuzos UAZ - Los Cabos United	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Tuzos UAZ - Racing de Veracruz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.04.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ	0:2
02.04.25	Tuzos UAZ - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:6
30.11.24	Tuzos UAZ - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0
26.10.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ	2:3
30.03.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ	1:1
30.10.23	Tuzos UAZ - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:1
18.02.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ	1:1

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