Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba (Zacatecas)

Referee: Negrete Preciado J. M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mineros de Zacatecas		Jaiba Brava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.30	3.10
	2.15	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.19	3.45	3.48
	2.07	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.16	3.3	3.35
	2.18	3.48	3.08	Watch
	2.14	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.03)	3.38 ↓ (3.53)	3.2 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mineros de Zacatecas
43.6%

Draw
27.5%

Jaiba Brava
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

25.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Zacatecas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Mineros de Zacatecas - Jaiba Brava Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Valenzuela J. (G) 2. Cervantes L. 12. Hernandez L. 14. Mazatan O. 23. Garcia A. 16. Esquivel J. 7. Carballo E. 10. Avila J. (C) 25. Villalobos A. 24. Padilla P. 19. Magana K.	13. Ruiz G. (C) 3. Pena R. 4. Rios A. 26. Manzanarez O. 2. Bocco L. 8. Gonzalez R. 5. Ochoa I. 16. Martinez J. 33. Martinez S. 9. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 10. Torres E.
Substitutes
20. Castro Garcia W. D. 1. Duran L. (G) 96. Flores Sanchez C. A. 30. Jimenez J. 9. Machado J. 3. Manriquez S. 4. Marmolejo D. 6. Rios P. 86. Rios R. 11. Sandoval L.	11. Cruz C. 1. Garcia J. (G) 21. Lopez F. 6. Lopez Gonzalez J. 7. Magana D. 177. Mendez O. 17. Ramirez I. 18. Serna A. 20. Tovar J.
Coaches
Munoz L.	Ruiz M. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Rios A. 🟨,
24', 🟨,
28', Mazatan O. 🟨,
29', Padilla P. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
31', Ochoa I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Hernandez L. 🟨,
62', Gonzalez R. ↓, Magana D. ↑,
64', Villalobos A. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Carballo E. ⚽,
68', Bocco L. ↓, Lopez Gonzalez J. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Mazatan O. ⚽,
79', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↓, Escalante E. ↑,
80', Martinez S. ↓, Cruz C. ↑,
84', Esquivel J. ↓, Marmolejo D. ↑,
84', Magana K. ↓, Flores Sanchez C. A. ↑,
84', Avila J. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 2.

Mineros de Zacatecas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jaiba Brava is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mineros de Zacatecas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mineros de Zacatecas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Zacatecas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zacatecas Mineros	11	5	2	4	23:19	4	17
13	Jaiba Brava	11	3	2	6	12:19	-7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Mineros de Zacatecas - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.24%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Jaiba Brava - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.73%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.08.26	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	4:2 ✺
14.08.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Venados	5:1 ✺
06.08.26	Dorados - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:2 ✺
31.07.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tlaxcala	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Correcaminos UAT	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTWT
- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.08.26	Jaiba Brava - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	4:0 ✺
01.08.26	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Jaiba Brava - Piratas de Veracruz	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Jaiba Brava - Club América	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.03.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Jaiba Brava	1:0
15.10.25	Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:2
11.05.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Jaiba Brava	0:0
04.05.25	Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0
14.02.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Jaiba Brava	3:1
30.08.24	Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0
23.03.22	Jaiba Brava - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0

Upcoming Matches