Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tamaulipas (Tampico-Ciudad Madero)

Referee: Perez Borja D. S. (Mex)


	Jaiba Brava		Alebrijes de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.60	4.60
	1.95	3.25	3.65	Watch
	1.57	4.06	5.41
	1.66	3.43	5.87	Watch
	1.5	3.55	4.9
	1.57	4	5.49	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.79)	3.67 ↓ (3.72)	5.02 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiba Brava
56.6%

Draw
25.1%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Jaiba Brava - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ruiz G. (C) 3. Pena R. 16. Martinez J. 26. Manzanarez O. 2. Bocco L. 8. Gonzalez R. 5. Ochoa I. 33. Martinez S. 11. Cruz C. 9. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 19. Lopez D.	1. Rodas C. (G) 15. Villa P. 12. Reyes J. 3. Justo A. 4. Alvarez K. (C) 14. Vazquez Hernandez A. 33. Tecpanecatl A. 6. Arellano A. 28. Jeffus L. 11. Andrey Marcos 187. Jaimes Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
22. Arriaga N. 27. Escalante E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 21. Lopez F. 6. Lopez Gonzalez J. 7. Magana D. 177. Mendez O. 17. Ramirez I. 18. Serna A. 20. Tovar J.	7. Ballesteros O. 8. Barreda I. 177. Bustos J. 26. Carreon M. 17. Collazo D. 19. Fadika B. 23. Hernandez A. 25. Martinez D. 21. Paz Vasquez O. (G) 27. Sanchez E.
Coaches
Ruiz M. A.	Hernandez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Tecpanecatl A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽,
29', Manzanarez O. 🟨,
45', Tecpanecatl A. 🟨,
45+6', Lopez D. ↓, Magana D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Martinez S. ↓, Tovar J. ↑,
46', Andrey Marcos ↓, Barreda I. ↑,
46', Arellano A. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
46', Vazquez Hernandez A. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
55', Justo A. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Martinez D. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Cruz C. ↓, Mendez O. ↑,
75', Ochoa I. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
82', Pena R. ↓, Escalante E. ↑,
84', Fadika B. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
87', Escalante E. 🟨,
89', Barreda I. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Escalante E. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 3.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jaiba Brava will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Jaiba Brava	11	3	2	6	12:19	-7	11
14	Alebrijes Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	8:22	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	4:0 ✺
01.08.26	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Jaiba Brava - Piratas de Veracruz	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Jaiba Brava - Club América	0:2 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.05.26	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLW
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.08.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
06.08.26	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0:2 ✺
30.07.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Correcaminos UAT - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
10.04.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava	1:2
01.11.25	Jaiba Brava - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:1
08.03.25	Jaiba Brava - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0
22.09.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava	1:1
11.01.22	Jaiba Brava - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1
12.10.21	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava	2:2
06.04.21	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava	4:1

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