Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leones Negros UdeG		Jaiba Brava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.20	2.87
	2.22	3.1	3	Watch
	2.28	3.33	3.32
	2.27	3.3	3.11	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.2
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.22	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.25)	3.2 ↑ (3.19)	3.09 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros UdeG
41.5%

Draw
28.7%

Jaiba Brava
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 161. Escalante J. 21. Gonzalez O. 24. Aguayo J. 5. Torres U. 10. Brigido J. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 6. Marchand J. (C) 34. Hernandez S. A. 9. Razo L. 20. Gil O.	13. Ruiz G. (C) 3. Pena R. 6. Lopez Gonzalez J. 26. Manzanarez O. 2. Bocco L. 19. Lopez D. 20. Tovar J. 10. Torres E. 11. Cruz C. 8. Gonzalez R. 9. Ocejo Zazueta J. A.
Substitutes
15. Carreon A. 19. Loera K. 12. Martin S. (G) 27. Meza U. 7. Munoz D. 167. Nuno M. 11. Perez J. 33. Sepulveda L. 153. Torres D. 31. Valenzuela M.	27. Escalante E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 21. Lopez F. 16. Martinez J. 33. Martinez S. 177. Mendez O. 5. Ochoa I. 17. Ramirez I. 4. Rios A.
Coaches
Sosa A.	Ruiz M. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Gonzalez O. ⚽, Gil O. (A),
10', Manzanarez O. 🟨,
19', Hernandez S. A. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Gil O. ⚽,
24', 3 - 0, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ⚽, Gil O. (A),
43', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
44', Aguayo J. 🟨,
45+4', Aguayo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopez Gonzalez J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
46', Gil O. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
49', Pena R. 🟨,
53', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
59', Razo L. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
59', Hernandez S. A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
66', Gonzalez O. ↓, Sepulveda L. ↑,
66', Brigido J. ↓, Loera K. ↑,
69', Tovar J. ↓, Mendez O. ↑,
69', Pena R. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
81', Cruz C. ↓, Escalante E. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Loera K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 3.

Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leones Negros UdeG will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros	11	7	2	2	27:16	11	23
13	Jaiba Brava	11	3	2	6	12:19	-7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.08.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Correcaminos UAT	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Cancún - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	2:4 ✺
19.04.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Venados - Leones Negros UdeG	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWLL
- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.08.26	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Jaiba Brava - Piratas de Veracruz	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Jaiba Brava - Club América	0:2 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.05.26	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	4:3 penalties ✺
23.05.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.01.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	4:1
16.11.25	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	4:1
13.11.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	1:0
02.08.25	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0
24.05.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	2:0 penalties
17.05.25	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	2:1
06.04.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	1:2

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