Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca (Oaxaca de Juárez) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	22:00	Disney+
Brazil	22:00	Disney+
Chile	22:00	Disney+
Colombia	20:00	Disney+
Mexico	19:00	Disney+, ESPN
Peru	20:00	Disney+
Uruguay	22:00	Disney+
Venezuela	21:00	Disney+


	Alebrijes de Oaxaca		Mineros de Zacatecas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.50	2.35
	2.48	3.30	2.35	Watch
	2.55	4.06	2.47
	2.66	3.91	2.32	Watch
	2.50	4.00	2.40
	2.60	3.56	2.48	Watch
	2.47	3.65	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.74)	3.71 ↑ (3.56)	2.4 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
36.6%

Draw
24.9%

Mineros de Zacatecas
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.2%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.8%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mineros de Zacatecas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (+2%)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Mineros de Zacatecas (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Paz Vasquez O. (G) 15. Villa P. 4. Alvarez K. (C) 12. Reyes J. 18. Gonzalez J. 3. Justo A. 19. Fadika B. 177. Bustos J. 20. Ayala D. 11. Andrey Marcos 8. Barreda I.	1. Duran L. (G) 14. Mazatan O. 12. Hernandez L. 5. Cano J. 3. Manriquez S. 19. Magana K. 24. Padilla P. 25. Villalobos A. 10. Avila J. (C) 11. Sandoval L. 13. Perez M.
Substitutes
26. Carreon M. 17. Collazo D. 16. Gallinar S. 174. Hernandez S. 28. Jeffus L. 5. Lopez E. 25. Martinez D. 1. Rodas C. (G) 33. Tecpanecatl A. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.	20. Castro Garcia W. D. 2. Cervantes L. 16. Esquivel J. 96. Flores Sanchez C. A. 23. Garcia A. 30. Jimenez J. 9. Machado J. 4. Marmolejo D. 86. Rios R. 22. Valenzuela J. (G)
Coaches
Bolanos Fabian G. R.	Munoz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Bustos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Justo A. ↓, Tecpanecatl A. ↑,
59', Perez M. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
59', Hernandez L. ↓, Cervantes L. ↑,
71', Fadika B. ↓, Vazquez Hernandez A. ↑,
71', Villalobos A. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
73', Mazatan O. 🟥,
76', Padilla P. ↓, Rios R. ↑,
76', Magana K. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
82', Rios R. 🟨,
86', Barreda I. 🟨,
86', Manriquez S. 🟨,
87', Barreda I. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
88', Martinez D. 🟨,
89', Andrey Marcos ↓, Jeffus L. ↑,
90+5', Cervantes L. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1.

In recent outings, Alebrijes de Oaxaca has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Mineros de Zacatecas has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alebrijes de Oaxaca has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:34 (averaging 1.6:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alebrijes de Oaxaca against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:11 goals (averaging 1.9:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alebrijes Oaxaca	15	7	1	7	15:25	-10	22
10	Zacatecas Mineros	15	5	3	7	26:26	0	18

Outrights of Mexican Liga de Expansion MX for now

Zacatecas Mineros: 6.09%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.10.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cruz Azul Hidalgo	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:2 ✺
08.10.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Piratas de Veracruz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:0 ✺
24.09.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWLL
- Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.10.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cancún	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Alacranes de Durango - Mineros de Zacatecas	4:2 ✺
24.09.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Piratas de Veracruz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.01.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:0
23.08.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:2
17.01.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	0:1
02.08.24	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0
28.02.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1
11.08.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1
21.03.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:6

Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas