Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca (Oaxaca de Juárez)

Referee: Gil J. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Alebrijes de Oaxaca		Mineros de Zacatecas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3.35	2.18
	3.1	3.57	2.24
	2.82	3.67	2.29	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	3.04	3.44	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.03)	3.45 ↑ (3.36)	2.2 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
31.2%

Draw
26.8%

Mineros de Zacatecas
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

27.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Mineros de Zacatecas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Alebrijes de Oaxaca (2.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Alebrijes de Oaxaca (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mineros de Zacatecas (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodas C. (G) 4. Alvarez K. (C) 20. Ayala D. 13. Barreda I. 33. Cortes J. 5. Esqueda Romero J. A. 3. Justo A. 11. Mascorro H. 8. Morales F. 2. Vazquez Garza H. A. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A.	1. Duran L. (G) 10. Avila J. (C) 2. Cervantes L. 12. Hernandez L. 11. Lopez F. 9. Machado J. 4. Marmolejo D. 18. Mendoza A. 24. Padilla P. 6. Rios P. 15. Villacorta A.
Substitutes
6. Arellano A. 177. Bustos J. 10. Cruz J. 19. Fadika B. 175. Gallinar S. 24. Garcia L. 35. Gonzalez Arriaga O. A. (G) 23. Hernandez A. 7. Lopez D. 12. Tamay A.	3. Barajas V. 17. De Los Rios S. 23. Garcia A. 19. Magana K. 14. Mazatan O. 102. Montes J. 13. Perez M. 86. Rios R. 8. Trejo E. 22. Valenzuela J. (G)
Coaches
Hernandez E.	Munoz L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Hernandez L. 🟥,
33', 1 - 0, Vazquez Garza H. A. ⚽, Justo A. (A),
35', Morales F. 🟨,
43', Barreda I. 🟨,
44', Villacorta A. 🟨,
45+2', Padilla P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Machado J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
52', Vazquez Garza H. A. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Mascorro H. ⚽, Morales F. (A),
55', Padilla P. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
60', Vazquez Garza H. A. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
60', Morales F. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
70', Rios P. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
72', Barreda I. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
73', Mascorro H. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
79', Mendoza A. 🟨,
80', Lopez F. ↓, Magana K. ↑,
80', Avila J. ↓, De Los Rios S. ↑,
83', Cruz J. 🟨,
90', Cervantes L. 🟨,
90+3', Montes J. 🟨,
90+5', Vazquez Hernandez A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0.

Mineros de Zacatecas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zacatecas Mineros	11	5	2	4	23:19	4	17
12	Alebrijes Oaxaca	12	4	1	7	10:23	-13	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.01.26	Cancún - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético Morelia	0:3 ✺
07.11.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Jaiba Brava - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTLT
- Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.01.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlético La Paz	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Dorados - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tlaxcala	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.12.25	Necaxa - Mineros de Zacatecas	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.11.25	Irapuato - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.08.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:2
17.01.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	0:1
02.08.24	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0
28.02.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1
11.08.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1
21.03.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:6
10.08.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:2

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