Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Minerva		Bullense

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	3.95
	1.81	3.32	3.93
				Watch
	1.76	3.48	4.12
	1.82	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.27)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	3.99 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minerva
50.3%

Draw
26.9%

Bullense
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minerva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minerva's performance.

Bullense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bullense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minerva than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minerva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bullense than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bullense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Minerva - Bullense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Cortes F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Cortes F. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

The competitors look crappy now.

Bullense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Minerva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Minerva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SFC Minerva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.02.25	Bala Azul - Minerva	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Minerva - Alcantarilla	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Caravaca - Minerva	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Unión Molinense - Minerva	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Minerva - Muleño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLLTT
- CD Bullense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.02.25	El Palmar - Bullense	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Pulpileño - Bullense	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Bullense - Águilas B	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Bullense - Lorca Deportiva	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Bala Azul - Bullense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.10.24	Bullense - Minerva	2:1
31.01.21	Minerva - Bullense	0:1

Minerva - Bullense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide