Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 9

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday


	Bala Azul		Bullense

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.52	3.65	5.8
	1.53	3.63	6.36	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6.02
	1.52	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	3.64 ↑ (3.59)	5.9 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bala Azul
59.7%

Draw
24.9%

Bullense
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.3%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

16.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bala Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Bullense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bala Azul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bullense than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bullense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Bala Azul - Bullense Predictions

Users Predictions: Bala Azul will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Gomez D. S. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Ferni ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
85', 3 - 0, Saura O. ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, Saura O. ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Recent matches Bala Azul is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bullense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bala Azul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bala Azul have a series of guest games.

In this match Bala Azul is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bala Azul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bala Azul won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.12.24	Lorca Deportiva - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Santomera - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	UCAM Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Bala Azul - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Cartagena B - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWT
- CD Bullense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.12.24	Santomera - Bullense	4:0 ✺
15.12.24	Bullense - UCAM Murcia B	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Real Murcia B - Bullense	4:0 ✺
01.12.24	Bullense - Cartagena B	2:3 ✺
24.11.24	Deportivo Marítimo - Bullense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.03.22	Bala Azul - Bullense	2:0
24.10.21	Bullense - Bala Azul	1:0

Bala Azul - Bullense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide