Match Info

I Liqa - Round 12

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday


	Mingachevir		Shahdag Qusar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.15
	1.88	3.33	3.93	Watch
	1.57	3.3	5.5
	1.5	3.62	6.31
	1.52	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.5 ↓ (3.75)	5.18 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mingachevir
56.6%

Draw
25.9%

Shahdag Qusar
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Shahdag Qusar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Mingachevir - Shahdag Qusar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Kalunga K. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Voronsov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 and 8).

Mingachevir has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shahdag has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Mingachevir is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mingachevir won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
18.12.25	Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir	1:1 ✺
10.12.25	Mingachevir - Cəbrayıl	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Mingachevir - Baku Sporting	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
05.11.25	Mingachevir - Şəfa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLWL
- Shahdag Qusar
Azerbaijan First Division
18.12.25	Shahdag Qusar - Səbail	2:2 ✺
10.12.25	Baku Sporting - Shahdag Qusar	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
02.12.25	Shahdag Qusar - Turan Tovuz	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
27.11.25	Shahdag Qusar - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Zagatala - Shahdag Qusar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
01.10.25	Shahdag Qusar - Mingachevir	0:0

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