Match Info

I Liqa - Round 23

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Zagatala		Shahdag Qusar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.25	2.45
	3.27	2.90	2.26	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.58)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	2.4 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagatala
32.9%

Draw
28.9%

Shahdag Qusar
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.1%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagatala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Shahdag Qusar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagatala than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shahdag Qusar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Agalarov S. ⚽,

Preview

Zagatala is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shahdag has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Zagatala has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zagatala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Zagatala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sahdag Qusar	4	4	0	0	13:1	12	12
6	Zaqatala	4	1	1	2	5:11	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
15.04.26	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	Zagatala - Difai Ağsu	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Shimal - Zagatala	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWTL
- Shahdag Qusar
Azerbaijan First Division
15.04.26	Shahdag Qusar - Cəbrayıl	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Difai Ağsu - Shahdag Qusar	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Shahdag Qusar - Shimal	0:2 ET ✺
18.03.26	Şəfa - Shahdag Qusar	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Shahdag Qusar - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
25.02.26	Shahdag Qusar - Zagatala	1:0
20.11.25	Zagatala - Shahdag Qusar	1:0

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