Match Info

I Lyga - Round 11

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK
World	FIFA+


	Minija Kretinga		Tauras Tauragė

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	4.33
	1.65	3.6	4.45	Watch
	1.6	3.61	4.47
	1.66	3.75	4.49	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.6
	1.6	3.68	4.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.87)	3.62 ↑ (3.53)	4.54 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minija Kretinga
55.4%

Draw
24.8%

Tauras Tauragė
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

25.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minija Kretinga's performance.

Tauras Tauragė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tauras Tauragė might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minija Kretinga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tauras Tauragė could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Minija Kretinga - Tauras Tauragė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA and 5).

Minija has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Tauras has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Minija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Minija is considered a favorite.

We predict that Minija will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Minija won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Minija won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FK Minija	25	22	1	2	68:13	55	67
7	Tauras Taurage	25	13	4	8	43:31	12	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Cup
19.05.26	Pempininkai - Minija Kretinga	1:4 ET ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
16.05.26	Neptūnas - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Minija Kretinga - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Transinvest 2 - Minija Kretinga	1:7 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
28.04.26	Minija Kretinga - Sūduva Marijampolė	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW
- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
16.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Jonava	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	3:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
21.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.08.25	Minija Kretinga - Tauras Tauragė	1:2
29.03.25	Tauras Tauragė - Minija Kretinga	3:0
26.07.24	Tauras Tauragė - Minija Kretinga	2:0
13.04.24	Minija Kretinga - Tauras Tauragė	0:0

Minija Kretinga - Tauras Tauragė: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide