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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 45.1%
Draw 26.9%
Houston Dynamo 28%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.6%
25.3%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
25.6%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Houston will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - under (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Callender D. (G) 52. Valerius C. 15. Boxall M. (C) 23. Duggan M. 21. Hlongwane B. 30. Gene O. 20. Trapp W. 13. Markanich A. 16. Jackson A. 9. Yeboah K. 8. Chancalay T.
31. Bond J. (G) 36. Felipe Andrade 5. Lucas Halter 6. Artur (C) 3. Antonio Carlos 11. Ennali L. 19. Bogusz M. 18. Samassekou D. 30. Bouzat A. 9. Foster L. 20. Guilherme
Substitutes
22. Caldeira M. 3. Duncan K. 18. Gonzalez M. 67. Harvey C. 11. Malone M. 94. Rizvanovich K. (G) 5. Romero N. 27. Taylor D. 25. Triantis N.
24. Aliyu I. 22. Arana M. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 14. Holmes D. 17. Markanich N. 23. McGuire D. 21. Negri F. 37. Rivera G.
Coaches
Knowles C.
Olsen B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Foster L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Yeboah K. ⚽, Duggan M. (A),
63', Felipe Andrade ↓, Negri F. ↑,
63', Foster L. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
63', Hlongwane B. ↓, Caldeira M. ↑,
63', Gene O. ↓, Triantis N. ↑,
63', Jackson A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
66', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
75', Bond J. ↓, Gillingham B. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Caldeira M. ⚽, Valerius C. (A),
82', Trapp W. 🟨,
84', Ennali L. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
85', Samassekou D. ↓, Arana M. ↑,
88', Chancalay T. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,
88', Valerius C. ↓, Duncan K. ↑,
89', Bouzat A. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, McGuire D. ⚽, Markanich N. (A),
90+6', Yeboah K. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 5th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.
Minnesota has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Houston have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Minnesota is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Minnesota: Diaz J.
(Yellow Cards)
Smir A.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Houston: Herrera H.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Minnesota: Pereyra J.
(Muscle Injury)
Stroud P.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Houston: Maurer J.
(Concussion)
Resch A.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:28 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Minnesota against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
Houston Dynamo: 4.08% Minnesota United: 0.58%
Last Results with these Odds
Houston Dynamo - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 30.09%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
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Callender D. (G) 
Valerius C. 
Boxall M. (C) 
Duggan M. 
Hlongwane B. 
Gene O. 
Yeboah K. 
Chancalay T. 
Bond J. (G) 
Felipe Andrade 
Bogusz M. 
Samassekou D. 
Caldeira M. 
Duncan K. 
Gonzalez M. 
Harvey C. 
Triantis N. 
Aliyu I. 
Arana M. 
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