The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 45.5%
Draw 26.1%
Houston Dynamo 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
25.3%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
25.6%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th and 5th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.
Minnesota has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Houston has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Minnesota holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:28 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Minnesota against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
Houston Dynamo: 4.56% Minnesota United: 0.62%
Last Results with these Odds
Houston Dynamo - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 30.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.