The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Houston Dynamo 43.3%
Draw 26.1%
Minnesota United 30.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47%
24.7%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
24.4%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 11. Ennali L. 3. Antonio Carlos 5. Lucas Halter 21. Negri F. 16. Herrera H. 6. Artur (C) 19. Bogusz M. 30. Bouzat A. 20. Guilherme 9. Foster L.
12. Callender D. (G) 52. Valerius C. 28. Diaz J. 23. Duggan M. (C) 21. Hlongwane B. 30. Gene O. 25. Triantis N. 13. Markanich A. 16. Jackson A. 9. Yeboah K. 18. Gonzalez M.
Substitutes
24. Aliyu I. 22. Arana M. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 14. Holmes D. 17. Markanich N. 23. McGuire D. 37. Rivera G. 18. Samassekou D. 4. Saracchi M.
15. Boxall M. 22. Caldeira M. 8. Chancalay T. 3. Duncan K. 67. Harvey C. 11. Malone M. 26. Pereyra J. 94. Rizvanovich K. (G) 5. Romero N.
Coaches
Olsen B.
Knowles C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Antonio Carlos 🟨,
30', Bouzat A. 🟨,
34', Ennali L. 🟨,
44', Olsen B. 🟨,
45', Olsen B. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Foster L. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
64', Gonzalez M. ↓, Caldeira M. ↑,
70', Herrera H. ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
73', Diaz J. ↓, Boxall M. ↑,
73', Jackson A. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
82', Negri F. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
83', Bouzat A. ↓, Samassekou D. ↑,
83', Ennali L. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
90', Yeboah K. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 13th).
Houston is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Houston holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Houston: Felipe Andrade
(Injury)
Resch A.
(Yellow Cards).
Confirmed absences for Minnesota: Smir A.
(Knee Injury)
Stroud P.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Houston: Maurer J.
(Concussion).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Houston has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:29 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Houston against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 21:13 goals (averaging 1.9:1.2 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
Houston Dynamo: 4.08% Minnesota United: 0.58%
Last Results with these Odds
Minnesota United - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.34%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Bond J. (G) 
Ennali L. 
Antonio Carlos 
Negri F. 
Herrera H. 
Bogusz M. 
Foster L. 
Callender D. (G) 
Valerius C. 
Diaz J. 
Gene O. 
Triantis N. 
Yeboah K. 
Aliyu I. 
Samassekou D. 
Saracchi M. 
Boxall M. 
Caldeira M. 
Duncan K. 
Harvey C. 
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