Match Info

MLS

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Houston Dynamo		Minnesota United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.6
	2.7	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.62	3.29	2.88
	2.88	3.31	2.49	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.62
	2.64	3.25	2.71	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.69)	3.29 ↓ (3.51)	2.71 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
36%

Draw
28.9%

Minnesota United
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.9%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.1%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Minnesota will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Minnesota (2.22) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Minnesota (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 36. Felipe Andrade 22. Ortiz P. 4. Bartlow E. 25. Dorsey G. 30. Junior Urso 6. Artur (C) 21. McGlynn J. 9. Lingr O. 10. Ponce E. 8. Bassi A.	97. St.Clair D. (G) 27. Taylor D. 28. Diaz J. 23. Duggan M. 2. Padelford D. 33. Chandler K. 20. Trapp W. 24. Gressel J. 22. Jung Ho-yeon 9. Yeboah K. 7. Jeong S.
Substitutes
16. Duenas E. 23. Halliday M. 14. Holmes D. 27. Kowalczyk S. 20. Lodeiro N. 1. Maurer J. (G) 12. Olusanya T. 35. Raines B. 17. Segal G.	15. Boxall M. 67. Harvey C. 21. Hlongwane B. 17. Lod R. 14. Oluwaseyi T. 26. Pereyra J. 5. Romero N. 19. Shashoua S. 1. Smir A. (G)
Coaches
Olsen B.	Ramsay E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', Ortiz P. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Ortiz P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Jeong S. ↓, Hlongwane B. ↑,
65', Trapp W. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
65', Jung Ho-yeon ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
65', Chandler K. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
69', Lod R. 🟨,
72', Ortiz P. ↓, Raines B. ↑,
72', Bassi A. ↓, Kowalczyk S. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Felipe Andrade ⚽,
82', Diaz J. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,
85', Ponce E. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
88', Olusanya T. 🟨,
90', Junior Urso 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.

Recent performances by Houston have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Minnesota is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Houston: Awodesu F. (Red Card) Ennali L. (Knee Injury) Escobar F. (Yellow Cards) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Houston: Holmes D. (Lower-Body Injury) Maurer J. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
MLS
10.05.25	Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders	1:3 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo	1:4 ET ✺
MLS
03.05.25	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Houston Dynamo - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Houston Dynamo - Colorado Rapids	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWT
- Minnesota United
MLS
10.05.25	Minnesota United - Inter Miami	4:1 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Louisville City - Minnesota United	0:1 ✺
MLS
03.05.25	Austin FC - Minnesota United	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Minnesota United - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3 ✺
19.04.25	Minnesota United - FC Dallas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
13.07.24	Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United	1:1
13.04.24	Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo	1:2
12.07.23	Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United	0:3
US Open Cup
23.05.23	Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United	4:0
MLS
17.05.23	Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo	1:0
27.08.22	Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo	2:1
23.07.22	Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United	1:2

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