Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 12Date: 1 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Plaza Colonia |
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Miramar Misiones |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.75 |
3.20 |
4.20 |
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 |
1.94 |
3.05 |
3.60 |
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 |
1.78 |
3.22 |
4.58 |
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1.8 |
3.35 |
4.66 |
 Watch |
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1.74 |
3.15 |
4.45 |
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1.78 |
3.16 |
4.50 |
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1.74 |
3.15 |
4.40 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.85) |
3.18 ↑
(3.18) |
4.34 ↑
(4.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Plaza Colonia
50.6% | Draw
28.5% | Miramar Misiones
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plaza Colonia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+3.8%)Plaza Colonia - Miramar Misiones Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 67', 🟥,
- 73', 🟥,
- 88', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 11).In recent matches, Plaza Colonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Miramar Misiones's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Plaza Colonia is a strong favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).Including home match between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 32 |
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| 12 | Miramar | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 25 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Miramar Misiones - the odds 4.05 are the expected chance of winning is 22.4%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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