Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 15

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Plaza Colonia		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.15	4.1
	1.97	3.22	3.95
	1.93	3.33	3.99	Watch
	1.85	3.15	3.85
	1.9	3.18	3.84	Watch
	1.89	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.28)	3.19 ↑ (3)	3.91 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
48.2%

Draw
28.5%

Colón Montevideo
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plaza Colonia's performance.

Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colón Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plaza Colonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Plaza Colonia - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Lorenzi M. 🟥,
29', Quintana R. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Quintana R. 🟥,
37', 1 - 0, Amoroso V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Fernandez F. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 5).

Plaza Colonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Colón has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Plaza Colonia has had a series of away games.

Plaza Colonia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Colon	22	9	6	7	23:24	-1	33
6	Plaza Colonia	21	9	5	7	26:21	5	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:4 ✺
10.08.26	Rentistas - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Miramar Misiones	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Tacuarembó - Plaza Colonia	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWL
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.08.26	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Colón Montevideo - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Colón Montevideo	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Paysandú	2:3 ✺
11.07.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1
04.04.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1
05.10.24	Plaza Colonia - Colón Montevideo	0:2
23.06.24	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1
27.04.24	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1

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